The Akikiki (Oreomystis bairdi) and Akekee (Loxops caeruleirostris) are two honeycreepers endemic to Kauai, Hawaii, that were listed as federally endangered in 2010. Both species are rare, little-studied, and occur in a remote, roadless area. We analyzed high-resolution airborne lidar data to identify forest structure and topography metrics associated with Akikiki and Akekee nest locations (88 for Akikiki and 22 for Akekee) and occurrences (3706 for Akikiki and 1581 for Akekee) from 2012 to 2017 on the Alakai Plateau to predict their distribution in unsurveyed areas. Akikiki and Akekee nested in areas with similar forest structure at 10 m resolution, but different maximum tree heights. Akikiki and Akekee foraged in areas with significantly different forest structure (maximum tree height, mean canopy height, relative heights) and topography (slope) based on occurrences. Elevation was consistently one of the most important metrics for predicting both species nest locations and occurrences across scales (10, 100, 250 m) and it appears that both species are at the upper limits of their elevational range. We estimate that the area of suitable nesting habitat for Akikiki is 17.59 km 2 while the area of suitable nesting habitat for Akekee is 11.10 km 2 at 10 m resolution. The Akikiki has a potential range of 38 km 2 while the Akekee has a range of 58 km 2 at 100 m resolution. We produce predictive nest and occurrence maps at 10 m and 100 m resolutions to spatially target conservation actions. Results suggest that if avian malaria cannot be controlled and both species populations do not stabilize over the coming years, translocation may be needed to insure their viability.

The Hawaiian Islands have been identified as a global biodiversity hotspot. We examine the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) using Climate Data Records products (0.05 × 0.05°) to identify significant differences in NDVI between neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation years (1984, 2019) and significant long-term changes over the entire time series (1982–2019) for the Hawaiian Islands and six land cover classes. Overall, there has been a significant decline in NDVI (i.e., browning) across the Hawaiian Islands from 1982 to 2019 with the islands of Lāna’i and Hawai’i experiencing the greatest decreases in NDVI (≥44%). All land cover classes significantly decreased in NDVI for most months, especially during the wet season month of March. Native vegetation cover across all islands also experienced significant declines in NDVI, with the leeward, southwestern side of the island of Hawai’i experiencing the greatest declines. The long-term trends in the annual total precipitation and annual mean Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for 1982–2019 on the Hawaiian Islands show significant concurrent declines. Primarily positive correlations between the native ecosystem NDVI and precipitation imply that significant decreases in precipitation may exacerbate the decrease in NDVI of native ecosystems. NDVI-PDSI correlations were primarily negative on the windward side of the islands and positive on the leeward sides, suggesting a higher sensitivity to drought for leeward native ecosystems. Multi-decadal time series and spatially explicit data for native landscapes provide natural resource managers with long-term trends and monthly changes associated with vegetation health and stability.

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