In this study with large samples of patients, the use of saquinavir-hgc was associated with higher risk of virological failure at 12 months than were ritonavir and indinavir; no differences between protease inhibitors were found for clinical progression. As biases cannot be excluded, a longer duration of follow-up will be necessary to answer the question of whether the results are really discrepant or simply reflect the delay between virological failure and clinical manifestations.
NAT at blood donation could reduce the HIV-1 window period to a minimal value of 8 days without pooling the blood samples, but the yield of NAT would be close to that of combined HIV antibody and p24 antigen tests for high values of the detection threshold and the pool size.
In randomized HIV/AIDS clinical trials, CD4 lymphocyte counts and plasma HIV-1 RNA measurements are often used as endpoints. The comparison between treatment groups is mainly based on a summary measure of outcome, so-called summary statistic. Such analyses are often complicated by missing data occurring as drop-outs. For the most currently used summary statistics in these trials, we examined the impact of missing data occurring as drop-outs on test size, in order to help choosing between these statistics. A simulation of missing-data patterns was performed, using HIV-1 plasma RNA measurements as the main endpoint, to compare the effect of three plausible informative patterns, depending on treatment group, and on baseline or current plasma viral load, on eight different summary statistics. Missing data resulted in test sizes over the nominal value for the area under the curve minus baseline, the least-squares slope, the slope estimated with use of a mixed effects linear model, assuming a linear trend over the entire study, the difference between baseline and nadir, and the difference between baseline and week 24. The difference between baseline and week 8 was an acceptable summary with respect to the test size, but did not reflect accurately the durability of the effect of treatment. Two criteria appeared as the best summary statistics: the slope estimated by a mixed effects model, with a change of slope after two weeks of treatment, and to a lesser degree, the area under the curve after carrying forward the last observation.
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