Nigeria has witnessed dramatic climate change impacts in recent years resulting in droughts and desertification in several northern states with fast receding grassland vegetation. This has induced migration especially by pastoral farmers from the semi-arid agro-ecological zones down south towards the Benue trough in search of lush green vegetation for their herds. The result is frequent strife and conflict between these nomadic groups and the sedentary farming communities in the rich Benue River Basin trough, resulting in loss of lives and properties. In recent years, the conflicts have assumed diverse political, religious and socio-cultural dimensions. Using an in-depth desk review of extant literature and policy documents, this paper appraises the policy and regulatory responses to these crises juxtaposing it with climate change mitigation and adaptation measures in Nigeria. We posit that the major causes of conflicts revolve around land ownership for settlement, grazing and farming; that the conflict has assumed ethno-religious colorations with great impact on the socio-economic wellbeing of the inhabitants and migrants. We realize that migration is a form of local level adaptation measure and conflict a directional reaction to these adaptation manifestations which need to be addressed holistically, and therefore propose a comprehensive, all-engaging approach to dealing with this problem by recognizing the cause and effect of this migration and conflict which is climate change. This will inform policy and strategic interventions to address the underlying causes (climate change), and not just the manifestations (migration and conflict).
There is a pattern of inconsistent behaviour among some African states towards the International Criminal Court (ICC) showing credible commitment and sham devotion. This study poses a question: what will be of the status of Nigeria, Kenya and Uganda (the Triad) vis-à-vis the ICC by the end of 2023, considering the pattern of behaviour of these states so far, evidence from data and the spate of domestication and exit procedures in homogeneous African states in contemporary times? The objectives of the study are to predict the status of the Triad by 2023 and reflect on the implication of the predictions for the on-going viability, sustainability and credibility challenges facing the ICC in Africa. The study finds that: the pattern of Nigeria’s behaviour shows sham devotion and predicts that she will not domesticate the Rome Statute come 2023; the pattern of Kenya’s behaviour straddles credible commitment and sham devotion and she may maintain her membership of the ICC by 2023; the pattern of Uganda’s behaviour shows fairly credible commitment mixed with sham devotion and she will maintain her membership of the Statute come 2023. These predictions have implications on the ongoing viability, sustainability and credibility challenges facing the ICC in Africa.
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