Background: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is the leading cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children and young adults. Our objective was to develop and validate a SCD risk prediction model in pediatric HCM to guide SCD prevention strategies. Methods: In an international multi-center observational cohort study, phenotype-positive patients with isolated HCM <18 years at diagnosis were eligible. The primary outcome variable was the time from diagnosis to a composite of SCD events at 5-year follow-up: SCD, resuscitated sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), and aborted SCD, i.e. appropriate shock following primary prevention ICD. Competing risk models with cause-specific hazard regression were used to identify and quantify clinical and genetic factors associated with SCD. The cause-specific regression model was implemented using boosting, and tuned with ten repeated four-fold cross-validations. The final model was fitted using all data with the tuned hyperparameter value that maximizes the c-statistic, and its performance was characterized using c-statistic for competing risk models. The final model was validated in an independent external cohort (SHaRe, n=285). Results: Overall, 572 patients met eligibility criteria with 2855 patient-years of follow-up. The 5-year cumulative proportion of SCD events was 9.1% (14 SCD, 25 resuscitated SCA, 14 aborted SCD). Risk predictors included age at diagnosis, documented non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, unexplained syncope, septal diameter z-score, LV posterior wall diameter z-score, LA diameter z-score, peak LV outflow tract (LVOT) gradient, and presence of a pathogenic variant. Unlike adults, LVOT gradient had an inverse association, and family history of SCD had no association with SCD. Clinical and clinical/genetic models were developed to predict 5-year freedom from SCD. Both models adequately discriminated patients with and without SCD events with a c-statistic of 0.75 and 0.76 respectively and demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed events in the primary and validation cohorts (validation c-statistic 0.71 and 0.72 respectively). Conclusions: Our study provides a validated SCD risk prediction model with over 70% prediction accuracy and incorporates risk factors that are unique to pediatric HCM. An individualized risk prediction model has the potential to improve the application of clinical practice guidelines and shared decision-making for ICD insertion. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov Unique Identifier: NCT04036799
RIPC improves maximal performance in highly trained swimmers. This simple technique may be applicable to other sports and, more importantly, to other clinical syndromes in which exercise tolerance is limited by tissue hypoxemia or ischemia.
rIPC [remote IPC (ischaemic preconditioning)] has been shown to invoke potent myocardial protection in animal studies and recent clinical trials. Although the important role of PI3K (phosphoinositide 3-kinase)/Akt activation in the cardioprotection afforded by local IPC is well described, our understanding of the intracellular signalling of rIPC remains incomplete. We therefore examined the hypothesis that the myocardial protection afforded by rIPC is mediated via the PI3K/Akt/GSK3β (glycogen synthase kinase 3β) signalling pathway, activation of which is associated with nuclear accumulation of β-catenin. rIPC was induced in mice using four cycles of 5 min of ischaemia and 5 min of reperfusion of the hindlimb using a torniquet. This led to reduced infarct size (19 ± 4% in rIPC compared with 39 ± 7% in sham; P<0.05), improved functional recovery and reduced apoptosis after global I/R (ischaemia/reperfusion) injury using a Langendorff-perfused mouse heart model. These effects were reversed by pre-treatment with an inhibitor of PI3K activity. Furthermore, Western blot analysis demonstrated that, compared with control, rIPC was associated with activation of the PI3K/Akt signalling pathway, resulting in phosphorylation and inactivation of GSK3β, accumulation of β-catenin in the cytosol and its translocation to the nucleus. Finally, rIPC increased the expression of β-catenin target genes involved in cell-survival signalling, including E-cadherin and PPARδ (peroxisome-proliferator-activated receptor δ). In conclusion, we show for the first time that the myocardial protection afforded by rIPC is mediated via the PI3K/Akt/GSK3β signalling pathway, activation of which is associated with nuclear accumulation of β-catenin and the up-regulation of its downstream targets E-cadherin and PPARδ involved in cell survival.
We sought to determine whether a 9-day remote ischemic preconditioning (IPC) causes improvements in exercise performance, energetics, and blood pressure. Ten participants (mean age 24 ± 4 years) had no changes in aerobic capacity (preintervention: 38 ± 10 mL/(kg·min)(-1) vs. postintervention: 38 ± 10 mL/(kg·min)(-1)), blood pressure (preintervention: 112 ± 7/66 ± 6 mm Hg vs. postintervention: 112 ± 10/62 ± 5 mm Hg), cardiac phosphocreatinine-to-adenosine-triphosphate ratio (preintervention: 2.1 ± 0.5 vs. postintervention: 2.3 ± 0.4), and postexercise skeletal muscle phosphocreatine recovery (preintervention: 34 ± 11 s vs. postintervention: 31 ± 11 s). Short-term remote IPC may be ineffective in improving these outcomes.
Ventricular dysfunction affects survival in patients with single right ventricle (RV), and remains one of the primary indications for heart transplantation. Since it is challenging to predict the capacity of patients with ventricular dysfunction to proceed to the stage II procedure, we sought to identify factors that would be associated with death or heart transplantation without achieving stage II for single RV patients with ventricular dysfunction after Norwood procedure. The Single Ventricle Reconstruction (SVR) trial public-use database was used. Patients with a RV ejection fraction less than 44% or a RV fractional area of change less than 35% on the post-Norwood echocardiogram were included. Parametric risk hazard analysis was used to identify risk factors for death or transplantation without achieving stage II. Of 365 patients with ventricular function measurements on the post-Norwood echocardiogram, 123 (34%) patients had RV dysfunction. The transplantation-free survival was significantly lower for those with ventricular dysfunction compared to those with normal function (log rank Chi-square = 4.23, p = 0.04). Furthermore, having a Blalock-Taussig (BT) shunt, a large RV, a post-Norwood infectious complication, and a surgeon who performs five or less Norwood per year were independent risk factors for death or transplantation without achieving stage II. The predicted 6-month transplantation-free survival for patients with all four identified risk factors was 1% (70% CI 0-13%). Early heart transplantation referral might be considered for post-Norwood patients with BT shunt and RV dysfunction, especially if other high-risk features are present.
Aims To quantify thoracic lymphatic burden in paediatric Fontan patients using MRI and correlate with clinical status. Methods and results Paediatric Fontan patients (<18-years-old) with clinical cardiac MRI that had routine lymphatic 3D T2 fast spin echo (FSE) imaging performed from May 2017 to October 2019 were included. ‘Lymphatic burden’ was quantified by thresholding-based segmentation of the 3D T2 FSE maximum intensity projection image and indexed to body surface area, performed by two independent readers blinded to patient status. There were 48 patients (27 males) with median age at MRI of 12.9 (9.4–14.7) years, time from Fontan surgery to MRI of 9.1 (5.9–10.4) years, and follow-up time post-Fontan surgery of 9.4 (6.6–11.0) years. Intraclass correlation coefficient between two observers for lymphatic burden was 0.96 (0.94–0.98). Greater lymphatic burden correlated with post-Fontan operation hospital length of stay and duration of chest tube drainage (rs = 0.416, P = 0.004 and rs = 0.439, P = 0.002). Median lymphatic burden was greater in patients with chylous effusions immediately post-Fontan (178 (118–393) vs. 113 (46–190) mL/m2, P = 0.028), and in patients with composite adverse Fontan status (n = 13) defined by heart failure (n = 3), transplant assessment (n = 2), recurrent effusions (n = 6), Fontan thrombus (n = 2), and/or PLE (n = 6) post-Fontan (435 (137–822) vs. 114 (51–178) mL/m2, P = 0.003). Lymphatic burden > 600 mL/m2 was associated with late adverse Fontan status with sensitivity of 57% and specificity of 95%. Conclusion Quantification of MR lymphatic burden is a reliable tool to assess the lymphatics post-Fontan and is associated with clinical status.
We sought to describe the clinical course for patients with hypoplastic left heart syndrome and persistent ventricular dysfunction and identify risk factors for death or transplantation before stage II palliation. 138 children undergoing stage I palliation from 2004 to 2011 were reviewed. Twenty-two (16 %) patients (seven Hybrid, 15 Norwood) with two consecutive echocardiograms reporting at least moderate dysfunction were included and compared to case-matched controls. Eleven of the 22 patients with dysfunction (50 %) underwent stage II, seven (32 %) were transplanted, and four (18 %) died prior to stage II. Of the patients who survived to hospital discharge (n = 17) following stage 1, 14 (82 %) required readmission for heart failure (HF) compared to only two (10 %) for controls (p < 0.001). Among patients with ventricular dysfunction, there was an increased use of ACE inhibitors or beta-blockers (82 vs. 25 %; p = 0.001), inotropes (71 vs. 15 %; p = 0.001), ventilation (58 vs. 10 %; p = 0.001), and ECMO (29 vs. 0 %; p = 0.014) for HF management post-discharge when compared to controls. There was a lower heart transplant-free survival at 7 months in patients with dysfunction compared to controls (50.6 vs. 90.9 %; p = 0.040). ECMO support (p = 0.001) and duration of inotropic support (p = 0.04) were significantly associated with death or transplantation before stage II palliation. Patients with ventricular dysfunction received more HF management and related admissions. Longer inotropic support should prompt discussion regarding alternative treatment strategies given its association with death or transplant.
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