Background
To evaluate the utility of the revised coma remission scale (CRS-r), together with other clinical variables, in predicting emergence from disorders of consciousness (DoC) during intensive rehabilitation care.
Methods
Data were retrospectively extracted from the medical records of patients enrolled in a specialized intensive rehabilitation unit. 123 patients in a vegetative state (VS) and 57 in a minimally conscious state (MCS) were included and followed for a period of 8 weeks. Demographical and clinical factors were used as outcome measures. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were employed for examining potential predictors for clinical outcome along the time.
Results
VS and MCS groups were matched for demographical and clinical variables (i.e., age, aetiology, tracheostomy and route of feeding). Within 2 months after admission in intensive neurorehabilitation unit, 3.9% were dead, 35.5% had a full recovery of consciousness and 66.7% remained in VS or MCS. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the best predictor of functional improvement was the CRS-r scores. In particular, patients with values greater than 12 at admission were those with a favourable likelihood of emergence from DoC.
Conclusions
Our study highlights the role of the CRS-r scores for predicting a short-term favorable outcome.
In the 1998-2005 period, the incidence of PSH was 32% and 16% in post-traumatic and non-traumatic patients, respectively. It decreased to 18% and 7% in the 2006-2010 period. The PSH duration and the time spent in emergency units before admission and in the dedicated unit for the vegetative state after admission also decreased significantly. Incidence was greater among post-traumatic- patients; its effect on outcome does not appear to have changed.
One of the main challenges in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients is to achieve an early and definite prognosis. Despite the recent development of algorithms based on artificial intelligence for the identification of these prognostic factors relevant for clinical practice, the literature lacks a rigorous comparison among classical regression and machine learning (ML) models. This study aims at providing this comparison on a sample of TBI patients evaluated at baseline (T0), after 3 months from the event (T1), and at discharge (T2). A Classical Linear Regression Model (LM) was compared with independent performances of Support Vector Machine (SVM), k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), Naïve Bayes (NB) and Decision Tree (DT) algorithms, together with an ensemble ML approach. The accuracy was similar among LM and ML algorithms on the analyzed sample when two classes of outcome (Positive vs. Negative) approach was used, whereas the NB algorithm showed the worst performance. This study highlights the utility of comparing traditional regression modeling to ML, particularly when using a small number of reliable predictor variables after TBI. The dataset of clinical data used to train ML algorithms will be publicly available to other researchers for future comparisons.
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