In agricultural landscapes, methods to identify and describe meaningful landscape patterns play an important role to understand the interaction between landscape organization and ecological processes. We propose an innovative stochastic modelling method of agricultural landscape organization where the temporal regularities in land-use are first identified through recognized Land-Use Successions (LUS) before locating these successions in landscapes. These time-space regularities within landscapes are extracted using a new data mining method based on Hidden Markov Models. We applied this methodological proposal to the Niort Plain (West of France). We built a temporo-spatial analysis for this case study through spatially explicit analysis of Land Use Succession (LUS) dynamics. Implications and perspectives of such an approach, which links together the temporal and the spatial dimensions of the agricultural organization, are discussed by assessing the relationship between the agricultural landscape patterns defined using this approach and ecological data through an illustrative example of bird nests.
International audienceSince the initial point of Langran, (1993) saying that Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were poorly equipped to handle temporal data, many researchers have sought to integrate the time dimension into GIS,(Roddick,2001). We present a time space modelling approach -- and a generic software named \arpentage -- capable of clustering a territory based on its pluri-annual land-use organization. By adding the ability to represent, locate and visualize temporal changes in the territory, \arpentage provides tools to build a Time-Dominant GIS. One main Markovian assumption is stated: the land-use succession in a given place depends only on the land-use successions in neighbouring plots. By means of stochastic models such as a hierarchical hidden Markov model and a Markov random field, \arpentage performs an unsupervised clustering of a territory in order to reveal patches characterized by time space regularities in the land-use successions. Two case studies are developed involving two territories carrying environmental issues. Those territories have various sizes and are parameterized using long term surveys and/or remote sensing data. In both cases, \arpentage detects, locates and displays in a GIS the temporal changes. This gives valuable information on the spatial and time dynamics of the land-use organization of those territories
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