The large AGORA data- and biobank offers great opportunities for investigating genetic and nongenetic risk factors for disorders in children and is open to collaborative initiatives. Birth Defects Research (Part A) 106:675-684, 2016. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Our study does not suggest a major role for folic acid supplements or the MTHFR C677T polymorphism in the etiology of hypospadias in general, but not using folic acid and/or carrying the MTHFR C677T polymorphism may be associated with middle and posterior hypospadias. Therefore, we stress the importance of studying gene-environment interactions preferably in stratified analyses for different hypospadias phenotypes.

To develop a prediction model for postoperative complications after primary one-stage hypospadias correction to improve preoperative parental counseling. Materials and methods: In this retrospective cohort study, data were collected from 356 patients with anterior or middle hypospadias who had a one-stage hypospadias correction from 2003 onwards. Potential treatment-and patient-related factors were selected and used to develop a prediction model for postoperative complications within one year (wound-related complications, urinary tract infections, fistulas, stenosis, and prepuce-related complications). Multivariable logistic regression analysis with stepwise backward selection and a p-value of 0.20 was used to select the final model, which was internally validated using the bootstrap procedure. Results: Complications within one year postoperatively occurred in 66 patients (19%), of which 13% and 37% were seen in anterior and middle type of hypospadias, respectively. Hypospadias phenotype, surgical technique, chordectomy, and surgeon's experience were included in the final prediction model, whereas none of the patientrelated factors were. The final model had a good discriminative ability (bias corrected C statistic 0.70) and calibration. Conclusion: Using easily obtainable information, this model showed good accuracy in predicting complications within one year after hypospadias surgery. It is a first step towards individualized risk prediction of postoperative complications for anterior and middle hypospadias and can assist in preoperative parental counseling.

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Common preoperative illnesses not severe enough to postpone surgery did not increase the postoperative complication risk and even seemed to have a protective effect, especially for postoperative infections. Consequently there is no reason to alter preoperative screening.

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