We describe a medium term market simulation model which was built to help analyse the effects of contracts, and of company structure, on the efficiency of a wholesale electricity market. Our approach employs a Dual Dynamic Programming methodology, with the sub‐models at each stage being Cournot duopolies. The model played a part in the analysis which helped shape the recent New Zealand Government decisions which move the industry towards a market driven structure. Although similar moves have been made in other countries in recent years, and there have been several electricity market studies reported recently in the literature, gaming by mixed hydro‐thermal firms does not seem to have been modelled previously.
Efficient management of water requires balancing environmental needs, externality considerations, and economic efficiency. Toward that end, this paper presents a deterministic linear program that could be used to operate a smart spot market for groundwater. The market design uses the existing hydrological programs MODFLOW and GWM along with standard linear programming methods. In principle, a market could be set up anywhere that a MODFLOW model is available. The market design has parallels to markets in the electricity and gas sectors, which we discuss. We present a case study with notional bids for Marlborough, New Zealand. Our approach would reduce transaction costs for a water market, reduce users' risk, and increase the reliability of environmental flows. We discuss a number of cautions and limitations to the model and recommend further work on introducing a stochastic framework to the model.
Nitrate discharges from diffuse agricultural sources significantly contribute to groundwater and surface water pollution. Tradable permit programs have been proposed as a means of controlling nitrate emissions efficiently, but trading is complicated by the dispersed and delayed effects of the diffuse pollution. Hence, markets in nitrate discharge permits should be carefully designed to account for the underlying spatial and temporal interactions. Nitrate permit markets can be designed similar to the modern electricity markets which use LPs to find the equilibrium prices because the two trading problems have close analogy.In this paper, we propose alternative LP models to find efficient permit prices for year-ahead markets. The model structure varies depending on the catchment hydro-geology and long-term goals of the community. We show how the market price structures are driven by the constraint structure under different environmental conditions. We discuss the physical and economic conditions required to assure consistent prices, the modeling of essential and optional constraints in an LP, and the problem of balancing resource allocation over time among delayed-response discharge units. We then extend the LP model to balance resource allocation over time and to improve the market performance.
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