9th E uropean Symposi u m on I m proved Di l R ecovery, T he H ague -Th e N et h er lands, 20 -22 O ctober 199 7 E . F. BALBINSKI, T . P. FISHLOCK , S . G . GOODYEAR and P .I . R . JONES AEA Technology plc , A31 Winf ri th , Dorchester, Dorset DT2 8DH , UK
Significant three-phase regions can occur in a range of reservoir development strategies and oil relative permeability may then critically affect ultimate oil recovery. Unfortunately, three-phase oil relative permeabilities are not generally well characterized. In this paper we focus on theoretical methods of estimating three-phase oil relative permeabilities, as typically applied in reservoir simulation. In the absence of good physical models, we propose applying a mathematical filter to the many existing methods before fitting to measured data. First, the key characteristics of methods for predicting three-phase oil relative permeabilities are discussed, including choice of variables, behaviour at low oil saturations and three-phase residual oil saturations. Second, a numerical comparison of both predicted oil relative permeabilities and predicted incremental oil recoveries for immiscible WAG over waterflood is presented. None of the four most commonly used formulations assessed passed the mathematical filter successfully. Shortcomings were found in both of Stone's commonly used formulations for estimating expected recoveries. A wide range of incremental oil recoveries for immiscible WAG was found from choosing different formulations or different three-phase residual oil saturations. Some recommendations for best practice have been made.
Development plans for UKCS viscous oil reservoirs use production profiles predicted by full-field simulation models. The use of horizontal wells, possibly combined with other IOR techniques, and the unusually high vertical permeability of many of the fields, lead to a range of issues that need to be carefully considered when building simulation models.
The strengths and weaknesses of different gridding systems, and the level of areal and vertical grid refinement that is needed, are discussed and illustrated with a range of examples including: interpretation of Extended Well Test results and integration with full-field modelling; sensitivity to relative permeability assumptions; prediction of gas movement from primary gas caps; and the comparison of different IOR techniques.
Where horizontal wells are drilled to reduce gas coning, undulations in the well trajectory can cause local coning of free gas, giving significantly earlier breakthrough times compared to strictly horizontal wells. A good correlation is found between effective stand-off and breakthrough time. Where localized gas production occurs, scoping calculations suggest that inflow of oil from further down the wellbore may be significantly reduced by multi-phase friction effects and gravity potential terms not modelled in conventional simulators.
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