The aim of the work is to find relevant indicators for assessing the relationship between investments in fixed assets in agriculture, gross output of the industry, and agricultural exports using tools for modeling the impact of innovation and investment development on increasing production and export potential in the context of the formation of an export-oriented agricultural economy. The modeling methodology and the proposed estimating and forecasting tools for diagnosing and monitoring the state of sectoral and regional innovative agricultural systems are used to analyze the relationship between investments in fixed assets in agriculture, gross output of the industry, and agricultural exports based on the construction of the classification of Russian regions by factors that aggregate these features to diagnose incongruence problems and to improve institutional management in regional innovative export-oriented agrosystems. Based on the results of the factor analysis application, an underestimated role of indicators of investment in agriculture, the intensity and efficiency of agricultural production, were established. Based on the results of the cluster analysis, the established five groups of regions were identified, with significant differences in the level of investment in agriculture, the volume of production of the main types of agricultural products, and the export and exported food. The research results are of practical value for use in improving institutional management when planning reforms and transformations of regional innovative agrosystems.
The article considers the global model of economic growth based on a number of national economies, containing endogenous indicators that reflect the status of scientifictechnical progress. It is proved that technological development includes simulation stage, which is the borrowing of advanced technology and innovation, which dramatically increases the role of own research and development. In the work on the basis of economicmathematical methods is the modeling of the dynamics of the economy like Russia in the framework of the theory of endogenous growth based on multi-sector extension of the Solow model with constant saving rate. The main mechanism that determines the dynamics of growth is the flow of investment from one sector to another. The study of the dynamics of the model is carried out both analytically and by numerical simulation of special cases that illustrate different effects. On the basis of application of modern methodological approaches and principles developed by the regulators of innovative development of economy in the conditions of intensification of extraction of natural resources.
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