Background Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) were implemented by many countries to reduce the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causal agent of COVID-19. A resurgence in COVID-19 cases has been reported in some countries that lifted some of these NPIs. We aimed to understand the association of introducing and lifting NPIs with the level of transmission of SARS-CoV-2, as measured by the time-varying reproduction number ( R ), from a broad perspective across 131 countries. Methods In this modelling study, we linked data on daily country-level estimates of R from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (London, UK) with data on country-specific policies on NPIs from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, available between Jan 1 and July 20, 2020. We defined a phase as a time period when all NPIs remained the same, and we divided the timeline of each country into individual phases based on the status of NPIs. We calculated the R ratio as the ratio between the daily R of each phase and the R from the last day of the previous phase (ie, before the NPI status changed) as a measure of the association between NPI status and transmission of SARS-CoV-2. We then modelled the R ratio using a log-linear regression with introduction and relaxation of each NPI as independent variables for each day of the first 28 days after the change in the corresponding NPI. In an ad-hoc analysis, we estimated the effect of reintroducing multiple NPIs with the greatest effects, and in the observed sequence, to tackle the possible resurgence of SARS-CoV-2. Findings 790 phases from 131 countries were included in the analysis. A decreasing trend over time in the R ratio was found following the introduction of school closure, workplace closure, public events ban, requirements to stay at home, and internal movement limits; the reduction in R ranged from 3% to 24% on day 28 following the introduction compared with the last day before introduction, although the reduction was significant only for public events ban ( R ratio 0·76, 95% CI 0·58–1·00); for all other NPIs, the upper bound of the 95% CI was above 1. An increasing trend over time in the R ratio was found following the relaxation of school closure, bans on public events, bans on public gatherings of more than ten people, requirements to stay at home, and internal movement limits; the increase in R ranged from 11% to 25% on day 28 following the relaxation compared with the last day before relaxation, although the increase was significant only for school reopening ( R ratio 1·24, 95% CI 1·00–1·52) and lifting bans on public gathe...
Introduction Previous studies suggest diagnostic testing characteristics (i.e. variations in clinical specimens and diagnostic tests) can contribute to underestimation of RSV disease burden. We aimed to improve the understanding of RSV hospitalisation burden in older adults (aged ≥ 65 years) in high-income countries through adjusting for case under-ascertainment. Methods We conducted a systematic review to include data on RSV-associated acute respiratory infection (ARI) hospitalisation burden in older adults in high-income countries. To adjust for case under-ascertainment, we developed a two-step framework that incorporated empirical data on the RSV detection proportion of different clinical specimens and testing approaches as well as their statistical uncertainty. We estimated the unadjusted and adjusted RSV-associated hospitalisation burden through multilevel random-effects meta-analysis. We further explored RSV-associated in-hospital mortality burden. Results We included 12 studies with eligible RSV hospitalisation burden data. We estimated that pooled unadjusted hospitalisation rate was 157 per 100,000 (95% CI 98–252) for adults aged ≥ 65 years; the rate was adjusted to 347 per 100,000 (203–595) after accounting for under-ascertainment. The adjusted rate could be translated into 787,000 (460,000–1,347,000) RSV-associated hospitalisations in high-income countries in 2019, which was about 2.2 times the unadjusted estimate. Stratified analysis by age group showed that the adjusted rate increased with age, from 231 per 100,000 in adults aged 65–74 years to 692 per 100,000 in adults aged > 85 years. The in-hospital case fatality ratio of RSV was 6.1% (3.3–11.0) and the total RSV-associated in-hospital deaths in high-income countries in 2019 could be between 22,000 and 47,000. Conclusion This study improves the understanding of RSV-associated hospitalisation burden in older adults and shows that the true RSV-associated hospitalisation burden could be 2.2 times what was reported in existing studies. This study has implications for calculating the benefit of interventions to treat and prevent RSV-associated disease. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40121-023-00792-3.
Background Exercise has been known to preserve and enhance functional performance in older adults. Eccentric exercise involves muscle contractions characterised by unique features such as lengthening of the muscle–tendon complex by a greater opposing force. Aims To systematically review randomised-controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effectiveness of eccentric exercises in reducing the incidence of falls and improving the functional performance in older adults. Key methods We conducted a systematic review of RCTs following the PRISMA-P guidelines. Searches were completed in the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Embase, CINAHL, Medline, and Global Health CABI. We included RCTs reporting at least one of the following outcomes—falls, Berg balance scale, timed-up and go test, chair stand test, stair climb test, maximal walking speed, and minute walking distance. Two reviewers screened papers for eligibility and assessed the quality of included papers using the Cochrane Collaborative risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials. Data were extracted by a single reviewer and cross-checked by the second reviewer. A narrative synthesis was undertaken, given the high level of heterogeneity across studies. Results Ten studies were assessed as eligible for inclusion in the review. Overall, eccentric exercises were as effective as conventional resistance exercises in improving the selected outcomes by most studies. Additionally, when pre-exercise and post-eccentric exercise functional performance measures were compared, there was a statistically significant improvement in nearly all measures. The quality of trials was mixed (one high, four moderate, two low–moderate, and three low risk of bias). Conclusions Our systematic review suggests that eccentric exercises can be as effective as conventional exercises in older adults. Evidence suggests that such exercise interventions can lead to an improvement in geriatric function.
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