The impact of economic growth on unemployment is commonly agreed and extensively studied. However, how age and gender shape this relationship is not as well explored, while there is an absence of research on whether education plays a role. We apply Okun’s law, aiming to estimate age-, gender- and educational attainment level-specific unemployment rate sensitivity to cyclical output fluctuations. Since the empirical literature provides evidence in favour of the non-linear impact of output change on the unemployment rate, supporting higher effects of recessions than that of expansions, we aim to enrich this analysis by estimating how the impact of positive/negative output change on the specific unemployment rate varies with the level of the total unemployment. The analysis is based on 28 European Union (EU) countries and covers the period of 1995–2019. The equations are estimated by least-squares dummy variables (LSDV), using Prais–Winsten standard errors. For the robustness check, we alternatively used Newey–West standard errors to address serial-correlations and heteroscedasticity, and the Arellano–Bond estimator for some specifications that assume dynamics in the panel. The results support previous findings of male- and youth-specific Okun’s coefficients and reveal that they significantly stand out just over the periods of negative output change. Additionally, we find that educational attainment level is an important factor explaining the heterogeneity of unemployment reaction to output change.
Abstract:The competition between municipalities is problematic due to a common misconception that rivalry is impossible because documents regulating finances are the same across all local self-governments. In contrast, scientific research shows that the livability of one municipality can differ to another because of differences in their social-economic benefits. This distinction is not conditioned by geographic location or other special features of the municipality but rather by the amount of funds assigned and allocated to social and public welfare. This article aims to reveal the factors pertaining to the municipalities' fiscal competitiveness that affect economic growth within the state. This has relevance as a reallocation of a municipality's expenditure could provide new possibilities towards increasing future revenue of the municipality. For reaching the aim is examined by evaluating the effect of municipalities' fiscal competitiveness on Lithuania's economic growth using the volume and structure of expenditure in its municipalities. Results show that the major channels determining the fiscal competitiveness of a region are human resources, the business sector, and the institutional environment, and that these differ among municipalities. JEL Classification Numbers: H75, H76, R50; DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12955/cbup.v5.958
This paper aims to evaluate the factors determining countries’ private credit level as well as to identify the differences of their effect during the periods when the levels of country private credit exceeded 100 percent of GDP or were below. The research methodology relies on two modifications of the multiple regression model with log differences of variables. Research results showed a negative impact of economic growth and a positive impact of consumer prices and housing prices on the level of private credit. It has also been found that in the first period when the level of private credit to GDP exceeds the 100 per cent threshold households tend to borrow more than in other periods. In the second model distinguishing between periods when the level of country’s private credit was below 100 per cent of GDP and when this level was reached or exceeded the research showed that the effects of economic growth do not differ between periods of high and low indebtedness, but the difference becomes apparent when assessing the impact of household income and expenditure, thus confirming the impact of the marginal financial depth.
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