We consider the problem of reconstructing the dynamic state matrix of transmission power grids from timestamped PMU measurements in the regime of ambient fluctuations. Using a maximum likelihood based approach, we construct a family of convex estimators that adapt to the structure of the problem depending on the available prior information. The proposed method is fully data-driven and does not assume any knowledge of system parameters. It can be implemented in near real-time and requires a small amount of data. Our learning algorithms can be used for model validation and calibration, and can also be applied to related problems of system stability, detection of forced oscillations, generation re-dispatch, as well as to the estimation of the system state.
Exploratory analysis over network data is often limited by our ability to efficiently calculate graph statistics, which can provide a model-free understanding of macroscopic properties of a network. This work introduces a framework for estimating the graphlet count-the number of occurrences of a small subgraph motif (e.g. a wedge or a triangle) in the network. For massive graphs, where accessing the whole graph is not possible, the only viable algorithms are those which act locally by making a limited number of vertex neighborhood queries. We introduce a Monte Carlo sampling technique for graphlet counts, called lifting, which can simultaneously sample all graphlets of size up to k vertices. We outline three variants of lifted graphlet counts: the ordered, unordered, and shotgun estimators. We prove that our graphlet count updates are unbiased for the true graphlet count, have low correlation between samples, and have a controlled variance. We compare the experimental performance of lifted graphlet counts to the state-of-the art graphlet sampling procedures: Waddling and the pairwise subgraph random walk.
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