Background: Small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours (SI NETs) represent 30–50% of small bowel neoplasms and often present at an advanced stage. To date, there is relatively limited literature regarding prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) in stage IV disease. In addition, the prevalence of mesenteric fibrosis (MF) in SI NETs and its effect on OS have not been sufficiently explored in the literature. Aim: The primary aim of this study was to perform a large-scale survival analysis in an institutional cohort of 387 patients with metastatic (stage IV) SI NETs. The secondary aim was to provide epidemiological information regarding the prevalence of MF and to evaluate its effect on OS. Results: The median OS was 101 months (95% CI 84, 118). Age > 65 years, mesenteric metastases with and without desmoplasia, liver metastases, carcinoid heart disease (CHD) and bone metastases were associated with a significantly shorter OS, while primary tumour resection was predictive of a longer OS. The benefit of surgical resection was limited to symptomatic patients. MF was present in approximately 50% of patients with mesenteric lymphadenopathy. Elevated urinary 5-HIAA levels correlated strongly with the presence of CHD (p < 0.001) and to a lesser extent (p = 0.02) with MF. MF and CHD did not usually co-exist, suggesting that different mechanisms are likely to be involved in the development of these fibrotic complications. Conclusions: This study has identified specific prognostic factors in a large cohort of 387 patients with advanced SI NETs and has provided useful epidemiological data regarding carcinoid-related fibrotic complications.

Purpose Small intestinal neuroendocrine tumours (siNETs) with a Ki-67 proliferation index between 3 and 20% belong to WHO grade 2. Response to treatment may be monitored by blood chromogranin A (CgA) and urine 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (5HIAA). The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the prognostic value of baseline CgA and 5HIAA and of the early biochemical response to treatment, and to compare different cut-off values used in the literature. Methods A retrospective cohort study of 184 patients with siNET Grade 2 treated with somatostatin analogues (SSA), interferon-alpha (IFN) or peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT). Results Baseline CgA was a statistically significant prognostic marker for both cancer-specific survival (CSS) and progression-free survival (PFS). A cut-off of 5 × ULN (upper limit of normal) was best discriminative in most cases, but 2 × ULN discriminated better for SSA. Baseline 5HIAA was a prognostic marker for CSS in treatment with IFN and PRRT, but not for single SSA. Early changes of CgA and 5HIAA correlated well with CSS (HR 3.18, 95% CI 1.82–5.56 and HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.16–1.86) and PFS (HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.86–5.10 and HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.11–1.68) for SSA, but not for PRRT. Conclusions Baseline CgA and to a lesser extent 5HIAA are associated with CSS irrespective of treatment used, and with PFS after PRRT, and 5 × ULN provides best discrimination in many, but not all, cases. Early reductions of CgA and 5HIAA are prognostic for treatment with SSA, but not PRRT.

Purpose The antiproliferative properties of lanreotide autogel (LAN) in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (GEP NENs) were demonstrated in the CLARINET study. However, there is limited literature regarding factors that affect progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with GEP NENs treated with LAN. Methods We identified a total of 191 treatment-naive patients with advanced GEP NENs and positive SSTR uptake on imaging (Octreoscan or 68 Gallium DOTATATE Positron Emission Tomography [ 68 GaPET]) who received first-line LAN monotherapy, albeit at various starting doses (60, 90 or 120 mg/month). A group of 102 patients who initiated treatment at the standard dose of 120 mg/month were included in the study and further evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses to identify predictors of PFS. Results The location of tumour primary was in the small bowel in 63 (62%), pancreas in 31 (30%) and colon/rectum in 8 patients (8%). The tumours were well-differentiated, and the majority were grade 1 (52%), or 2 (38%). About 60% of cases had progressive disease at the time of treatment initiation. Most patients with available pretreatment nuclear medicine imaging (Octreoscan or 68 Ga PET) had a Krenning score of 3 (44%) or 4 (50%). The median PFS for the entire cohort was 19 months (95% CI 12, 26 months). The univariate analysis demonstrated that grade 2 tumours, progressive disease at baseline and metastatic liver disease were associated with a significantly shorter PFS, while other evaluated variables did not affect PFS at a statistically significant level. However, at multivariate analysis only the tumour grade remained statistically significant. Conclusions The current study showed that, of many evaluated variables, only the tumour grade was predictive of PFS duration and this should be considered during patient selection for treatment.

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