daily report, the epidemic of SARS-CoV-2 so far has caused 693224 cases and resulted in 33106 deaths in more than 200 countries. Referring to the data reported, World Health Organization declared the outbreak a pandemic. We considered the chain-binomial type of the model which involves short stages of high infectivity and approximately constant incubation periods. This research paper is to study and analyze the COVID-19 Virus spreading statistics on the examples of the cases from the different countries. High correlation coefficients (91.64%) and determinants (83.98%) between the total volumes of virus spread and recovery are considered to be high and indicate the correctness of the Bailey model. Thus, as of March 30, with the results of statistical and mathematical data processing, it is difficult to predict the future spread-reduction variables of the pandemic.
The history of the Pandemics makes a significant impact on the memory and behavior of the affected communities. It is important to study the connection between human mobility and the spread of viral infection. Specifically, we aimed to investigate whether there was a correlation between Mobility Trends and the spread of Covid-19 virus. Thus, in the conclusion it should be noted that the intensity of pedestrians, traffic and transit traffic during the study period, on average, after 15-20 days, affected the spread of the virus. If there was a positive slope and correlation coefficient between the variables presented in the period 22.01.2020 -11.03.2020 (before the announcement of the pandemic), in the period 12.03.2020 -14.04.2020 (after the announcement of the pandemic) the slope and correlation coefficients received negative values between the study variables, which indicates That on average, after 15-20 days, Due to the intensity of the movement, the center of the virus spread is identified, and the intensity of the movement itself is decreased.
The given paper emphasizes on the importance of the Railway Silk Road for promoting the Georgia's economic growth and development. The article notes that the process of economic integration of the region allows the increase of cargo turnover volume in Central Asia and the Caucasus countries, thus increasing the transport of goods through Georgia, - contributing to the sustainability of Georgia's macroeconomic and economic growth. The aim of financially economical models, we have identified the causal links between the sensitivity of railway cargo and the economic growth of the country. The main task of the research was to use the Railway EVA and the Georgian economy, create a cargo sensitivity relationship between CAGR models. The paper presents the analyses of the scientific research problems regarding the Railway freight transportation studies. Calculations are provided regarding the share of the Railway System in the country's GDP in period of 2006-2017 year and the average annual geometric (CAGR) growth pf cargo volumes in 16 years’ cycle allowing the „Georgian Railway“JSC to create the additional value in the country's overall GDP. The research indicate that the additional value to GDP is the direct and indirect form of development and growth of various sectors of the economy of Georgia, as some part of the cargo shipped in the railway remains in Georgia and is used in the process of production, which in itself adds value added to the economic growth of the country. Also, the use of this model by scientific research in foreign research centers provides better opportunities for additional growth of their economies.
Due to the geopolitical location, Georgia can become the center for Caucasus transport-logistics; partly it still performs this function. The purpose of this research paper is to study and analyze the financial-economic and statistical position of the main indicators of the Georgian Railway Holding. Based on all the above mentioned, we have set out the tasks of the research: Statistic analysis of the value added created by the Railway Industry in the Georgian economy years 2006-2019, Determination of correlation between the general indicators of JSC "Georgian Railway" and factors operating on it, Comparative analysis of the financial indicators of the Georgian railway in the post soviet space. Data was taken from the Georgian Railway Information Technology Agency. We observed the sensitivity of cargo movement in the region. The correlation between the general indicators of JSC "Georgian Railway" and its operating factors are also reflected in the study. Despite the small portion of the railway in the country's GDP, its role in the socio-economic development of the country is great. The average annual geometric growth of the EBITDA of regionals railways is decreasing. This reduction is caused by general economic shocks in region and slowing of economic growth. However, it is worth mentioning that the results of Georgian Railway compared with the other countries are only 4% reduction. This means that the reduction of shipping of oil and dry cargo by the Georgian Railways in recent times is caused by external factors.
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