Many statistical models are available for spatial data but the vast majority of these assume that spatial separation can be measured by Euclidean distance. Data which are collected over river networks constitute a notable and commonly occurring exception, where distance must be measured along complex paths and, in addition, account must be taken of the relative flows of water into and out of confluences. Suitable models for this type of data have been constructed based on covariance functions. The aim of the paper is to place the focus on underlying spatial trends by adopting a regression formulation and using methods which allow smooth but flexible patterns. Specifically, kernel methods and penalized splines are investigated, with the latter proving more suitable from both computational and modelling perspectives. In addition to their use in a purely spatial setting, penalized splines also offer a convenient route to the construction of spatiotemporal models, where data are available over time as well as over space. Models which include main effects and spatiotemporal interactions, as well as seasonal terms and interactions, are constructed for data on nitrate pollution in the River Tweed. The results give valuable insight into the changes in water quality in both space and time.
The Fifth International Radiocarbon Intercomparison (VIRI) continues the tradition of the TIRI (third) and FIRI (fourth) intercomparisons (Scott 2003) and operates as an independent check on laboratory procedures in addition to any within-laboratory procedures for quality assurance. VIRI is a 4-yr project, with the first suite of samples (grain) sent out in September 2004 and the second suite (bone) sent out in December 2005. Further stages will include samples of peat, wood, and shell with a range of ages. The 4 grain samples included 2 samples (A and C) of barley mash (20 g for radiometric analysis and 2 g for AMS), a grain (barley) byproduct from the manufacture of Glengoyne malt whiskey. The 2 remaining charred grain samples (B and D) were from excavations at Beth Saida and Tel Hadar, respectively (10 g for radiometric analysis and 4 seeds for AMS) and were provided by Elisabetta Boaretto of the Weizmann Institute. Consensus values for samples A and C are 109.2 (standard deviation [1 σ] = 2.73) and 110.6 pMC (1 σ = 2.48), and 2805 (1 σ = 162.7) and 2835 BP (1 σ = 190.8) for samples Β and D, respectively. Sample A is a new sample that was collected in 2001, while sample C was used in the FIRI trial as samples G & J (consensus value 110.7 pMC) and was collected in 1998. The expected ages (on archaeological grounds) of samples Β and D are 2800 BP and 2850-2900 BP, respectively. The second suite of samples comprises bone, ranging in age from Medieval to "close to background," and was distributed in December 2005. Samples for both radiometric and AMS laboratories include E: mammoth bone (>5 half-lives); F: horse bone (from Siberia, excavated in 2001); and Η, I: whalebone. Finally, sample G (human bone) was only for AMS laboratories. Some of the issues related to using bone in a laboratory intercomparison will be discussed.
Three Jurassic unconformities of intra-Aalenian, intra-Callovian and intra-middle Oxfordian age are consistently identified within the literature for the North Sea region but despite their common recognition these unconformities remain poorly understood and they are essentially spatially and temporally unconstrained. The recent development of a sequence stratigraphic framework for the Jurassic of the North Sea allows for a thorough investigation of the spatial and temporal characteristics of the intra-Callovian and intra-Oxfordian unconformities and these data have important implications for Middle and Late Jurassic rifting within the North Sea region.The intra-Aalenian unconformity is believed to have been generated as a result of an increase in geothermal gradient within the area and subsequent thermal uplift that preceded rifting. The stratigraphic gap associated with this unconformity increases towards the proposed location of a Middle Jurassic, triple junction centred dome. In contrast the stratigraphic break associated with the intra-Callovian and the intramiddle Oxfordian unconformities is found to increase onto what are now intra-rift highs and rift margin areas. These unconformities occur at the same time as distinct changes in the geometry of the fill of the triple junction and also occur at the same time as seismic scale extension. They do not appear to correlate to any supposed global fall in relative sea-level. Stratigraphic data indicate that three phases of extension occurred during the Callovian, middle and late Oxfordian and lastly during the Kimmeridgian and Volgian. Although the intra-Callovian and intra-middle Oxfordian unconformities can be confused with the effects of the Middle Jurassic North Sea dome unconformity, they are in fact the result of extension during the initial Callovian and Middle/late Oxfordian rift phases. The recognition of these regional unconformities suggests that the Middle and Late Jurassic rifting process was punctuated rather than being continuous.
hereafter VHP) have extended the idea of flow-related statistical dependence in streams to one where dependence may not respect flow, such as might happen when modeling data on fish in connected streams. We congratulate VHP for their innovative paper on using moving average models in stream networks.
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