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Under what conditions might organisms be capable of rapid adaptive evolution? We reviewed published studies documenting contemporary adaptations in natural populations and looked for general patterns in the population ecological causes. We found that studies of contemporary adaptation fall into two general settings: (1) colonization of new environments that established newly adapted populations, and (2) local adaptations within the context of a heterogeneous environments and metapopulation structure. Local ecological processes associated with colonizations and introductions included exposure to: (1) a novel host or food resource; (2) a new biophysical environment; (3) a new predator community; and (4) a new coexisting competitor. The new environments that were colonized often had depauperate communities, sometimes because of anthropogenic disturbance. Local adaptation in heterogeneous environments was also often associated with recent anthropogenic changes, such as insecticide and herbicide resistance, or industrial melanism. A common feature of many examples is the combination of directional selection with at least a short-term opportunity for population growth. We suggest that such opportunities for population growth may be a key factor that promotes rapid evolution, since directional selection might otherwise be expected to cause population decline and create the potential for local extinction, which is an ever-present alternative to local adaptation. We also address the large discrepancy between the rate of evolution observed in contemporary studies and the apparent rate of evolution seen in the fossil record.

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Life history traits in guppies (Poecilia reticulata) vary geographically along a predator assemblage gradient, and field experiments have indicated that the association may be causal; guppies introduced from high predation sites to low predation sites have evolved the phenotype associated with low predation in as few as seven generations. It has long been recognized, however, that low predation sites tend to have greater forest canopy cover than high predation sites. Stream differences in canopy cover could translate into stream differences in resource availability, another theoretically potent agent of selection on life history traits. Moreover, new computer simulations indicate that the high predation phenotype would outcompete the low predation phenotype under both mortality regimes. Thus, predation alone may not be sufficient to explain the observed life history patterns.Here we show that food availability for guppies decreases as forest canopy cover increases, among six low predation streams in the Northern Range of Trinidad. Streams with less canopy cover received more photosynthetically active light and contained a larger standing crop of algae (the primary food of guppies), as measured by algal pigments (chlorophylls and carotenoids) on both natural cobble and artificial tile substrates, but did not contain a greater biomass of guppies (per square meter of streambed). Consequently, algae availability for guppies (in micrograms of algal pigments per milligram of guppy) increased with decreasing canopy cover. The biomass of guppies and algae both decreased after a series of floods, with no net effect on algae availability. Field mark-recapture studies revealed that female and juvenile guppies grew faster, and that the asymptotic size of mature males was larger, in streams with less canopy cover. Canopy cover explained 84% of the variation among streams in algae availability which, in turn, explained 93% of the variation in guppy growth rates. Laboratory ''common garden'' experiments indicated that the stream differences in growth and adult male size in the field were largely environmental (nongenetic). These results strongly suggest that stream differences in canopy cover result in consistent stream differences in food availability, independent of predation.Our preliminary data indicate that some life history traits (offspring size and litter size) vary genetically along the canopy cover gradient, among low predation streams, in the same direction as along the predation gradient. Another recent study shows that food availability is higher at high predation sites than at low predation sites, partly as an indirect effect of predators reducing guppy densities. Further research is required to disentangle the direct effects of predation from those of resource availability in the evolution of life histories.

We have previously reported a correlation between the life-history patterns of guppies and the types of predators with which they coexist. Guppies from localities with an abundance of large predators (high predation localities) mature at an earlier age and devote more resources to reproduction than those found in localities with only a single, small species of predator (low predation localities). We also found that when guppies were introduced from a high to low predation locality, the guppy life history evolved to resemble what was normally found in this low predation locality. The presumed mechanism of natural selection is differences among localities in age/size-specific mortality (the age/size-specific mortality hypothesis); in high predation localities we assumed that guppies experienced high adult mortality rates while in the low predation localities we assumed that guppies experienced high juvenile mortality rates. These assumptions were based on stomach content analyses of wild-caught predators and on laboratory experiments. Here, we evaluate these assumptions by directly estimating the mortality rates of guppies in natural populations. We found that guppies from high predation localities experience significantly higher mortality rates than their counterparts from low predation localities, but that these higher mortality rates are uniformly distributed across all size classes, rather than being concentrated in the larger size classes. This result appears to contradict the predictions of the age/size-specific predation hypothesis. However, we argue, using additional data on growth rates and the probabilities of survival to maturity in each type of locality, that the age-specific mortality hypothesis remains plausible. This is because the probability of survival to first reproduction is very similar in each type of locality, but the guppies from high predation localities have a much lower probability of survival per unit time after maturity. We also argue for the plausibility of two other mechanisms of natural selection. These results thus reveal mortality patterns that provide a potential cause of natural selection, but expand, rather than narrow, the number of possible mechanisms responsible for life-history evolution in guppies.

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Previous investigations (Reznick and Endler, 1982; Reznick, 1982a, 1982b) demonstrated that genetic differences in guppy life histories were associated with differences in predation. Guppies from localities with the pike cichlid Crenicichla alta and associated predators matured earlier, had greater reproductive efforts, and produced more and smaller offspring than did guppies from localities with only Rivulus harti as a potential predator. Crenicichla preys primarily on large, sexually mature size-classes of guppies, while Rivulus preys primarily on small, immature size-classes. These patterns of predation are hypothesized to alter mean age-specific survival. Theoretical treatments of such differences in survival predict the observed trends in age at maturity and reproductive effort. We are using introduction experiments to evaluate the role of predators in selecting for these life-history patterns. The experiment whose results are presented here was conducted in a tributary to the El Cedro River (Trinidad), where a waterfall was the upstream limit to the distribution of all fish except Rivulus. Guppies collected from the Crenicichla locality immediately below the waterfall (the downstream control) were introduced over the waterfall in 1981. This introduction released the guppies from Crenicichla predation, exposed them instead to Rivulus predation only, and also introduced them to a different environment, since the introduction site has greater canopy cover than the site of origin. Changes in guppy life-history patterns can be attributed to predation and/or the environment. Evidence from fish collected and preserved in the field demonstrated that, by mid-1983, guppies from the introduction site above the waterfall matured at larger sizes and produced fewer, larger offspring. There were no consistent differences in reproductive allotment (weight of offspring/total weight). With the exception of reproductive allotment, these patterns are identical to previous comparisons between Rivulus and Crenicichla localities. A laboratory genetics experiment demonstrated that males from the introduction site matured at a later age and at a larger size than did males from the control site downstream, as predicted from the "age-specific predation" hypothesis. No differences between localities were observed for female age and size at maturity or for reproductive effort. The trends for fecundity and offspring size were the reverse of those observed in the field. Because only the males changed in the predicted fashion, it is not possible either to reject or to accept the hypothesis of age-specific predation at this time. We discuss the possible causes for these patterns and the high degree of plasticity in the life history, as evidenced by the differences in fecundity and offspring size between the field and laboratory results.

Abstract.-We have previously reported a correlation between the life-history patterns of guppies and the types of predators with which they coexist. Guppies from localities with an abundance of large predators (high predation localities) mature at an earlier age and devote more resources to reproduction than those found in localities with only a single, small species of predator (low predation localities). We also found that when guppies were introduced from a high to low predation locality, the guppy life history evolved to resemble what was normally found in this low predation locality. The presumed mechanism of natural selection is differences among localities in age/size-specific mortality (the age/size-specific mortality hypothesis); in high predation localities we assumed that guppies experienced high adult mortality rates while in the low predation localities we assumed that guppies experienced high juvenile mortality rates. These assumptions were based on stomach content analyses of wild-caught predators and on laboratory experiments. Here, we evaluate these assumptions by directly estimating the mortality rates of guppies in natural populations. We found that guppies from high predation localities experience significantly higher mortality rates than their counterparts from low predation localities, but that these higher mortality rates are uniformly distributed across all size classes, rather than being concentrated in the larger size classes. This result appears to contradict the predictions of the age/size-specific predation hypothesis. However, we argue, using additional data on growth rates and the probabilities of survival to maturity in each type of locality, that the age-specific mortality hypothesis remains plausible. This is because the probability of survival to first reproduction is very similar in each type of locality, but the guppies from high predation localities have a much lower probability of survival per unit time after maturity. We also argue for the plausibility of two other mechanisms of natural selection. These results thus reveal mortality patterns that provide a potential cause of natural selection, but expand, rather than narrow, the number of possible mechanisms responsible for life-history evolution in guppies.Key words.-Adaptation, life-history evolution, mark-recapture, mortality, selection, size-selective predation.Received September 26, 1995. Accepted September 26, 1995 Testing evolutionary theories in natural populations requires identifying the agent of selection, evaluating how the agent operates, then manipulating it and observing the resulting dynamics of evolutionary change (Endler 1986). Satisfying these criteria is rarely possible, so inferences are more often made less directly, such as with the combination of comparative studies and genetics that comprise the discipline of ecological genetics (e.g., Ford 1971). In initial studies (Reznick 1982;Reznick and Endler 1982), we found an association between predator fauna and the life-history attributes of their prey. ...