Artificial turf is increasingly being used in the construction of football pitches. One of its characteristics is an infill of sand and rubber granules. At present, different materials and layer thicknesses, as well as grain sizes are used for the sand and mainly for the rubber, but they are chosen with little scientific evidence about their influence on the mechanical and biomechanical properties of the pitch. Based on knowledge from materials science, it is reasonable to suggest that grain morphology may have a large influence on pitch performance. This paper presents research conducted to assess the influence of different parameters related to infill grain morphology on the mechanical properties of artificial turf (force reduction (%), vertical deformation (mm) and vertical ball bounce (m)), as well as on their wear with use, measured according to the F ed eration Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) procedures. The results show a significant reduction of pitch performance with use and a significant influence of grain morphology in mechanical response of artificial turf with respect to impact forces and ball rebound.
BackgroundA sample size containing at least 100 events and 100 non-events has been suggested to validate a predictive model, regardless of the model being validated and that certain factors can influence calibration of the predictive model (discrimination, parameterization and incidence). Scoring systems based on binary logistic regression models are a specific type of predictive model.ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to develop an algorithm to determine the sample size for validating a scoring system based on a binary logistic regression model and to apply it to a case study.MethodsThe algorithm was based on bootstrap samples in which the area under the ROC curve, the observed event probabilities through smooth curves, and a measure to determine the lack of calibration (estimated calibration index) were calculated. To illustrate its use for interested researchers, the algorithm was applied to a scoring system, based on a binary logistic regression model, to determine mortality in intensive care units.ResultsIn the case study provided, the algorithm obtained a sample size with 69 events, which is lower than the value suggested in the literature.ConclusionAn algorithm is provided for finding the appropriate sample size to validate scoring systems based on binary logistic regression models. This could be applied to determine the sample size in other similar cases.
The use of predictive models is becoming widespread. However, these models should be developed appropriately (CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modeling Studies [CHARMS] and Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool [PROBAST] statements). Concerning mortality/recurrence in oropharyngeal cancer, we are not aware of any systematic reviews of the predictive models. We carried out a systematic review of the MEDLINE/EMBASE databases of those predictive models. In these models, we analyzed the 11 domains of the CHARMS statement and the risk of bias and applicability, using the PROBAST tool. Six papers were finally included in the systematic review and all of them presented high risk of bias and several limitations in the statistical analysis. The applicability was satisfactory in five out of six studies. None of the models could be considered ready for use in clinical practice.
A tool was constructed and validated to predict NGAT. The associated factors were related with a greater cardiovascular risk. The scoring system has to be validated in other areas.
Knee injuries, especially those that affect the cruciate and lateral ligaments, are one of the most serious and frequent pathologies that affect the lower human extremity. Hence, the aim of this study is to develop a dynamic model for the lower extremity capable of estimating forces, forces in the cruciate and collateral ligaments and those normal to the articular cartilage, generated in the knee. The proposed model considers a four-bar mechanism in the knee, a spherical joint in the pelvis and a revolute one in the ankle. The four-bar mechanism is obtained by a synthesis process. The dynamic model includes the inertial properties of the femur, tibia, patella and the foot, the ground reaction force and the most important muscles in the knee. Muscle forces are estimated using an optimisation technique. Results from the application of the model on a real human task are presented.
BackgroundThe main instruments used to assess frailty are the Fried frailty phenotype and the Fatigue, Resistance, Ambulation, Illnesses, and Loss of Weight (FRAIL) scale. Both instruments contain items that must be obtained in a personal interview and cannot be used with an electronic medical record only.AimTo develop and internally validate a prediction model, based on a points system and integrated in an application (app) for Android, to predict frailty using only variables taken from a patient’s clinical history.Design and settingA cross-sectional observational study undertaken across the Valencian Community, Spain.MethodA sample of 621 older patients was analysed from January 2017 to May 2018. The main variable was frailty measured using the FRAIL scale. Candidate predictors were: sex, age, comorbidities, or clinical situations that could affect daily life, polypharmacy, and hospital admission in the last year. A total of 3472 logistic regression models were estimated. The model with the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was selected and adapted to the points system. This system was validated by bootstrapping, determining discrimination (AUC), and calibration (smooth calibration).ResultsA total of 126 (20.3%) older people were identified as being frail. The points system had an AUC of 0.78 and included as predictors: sex, age, polypharmacy, hospital admission in the last year, and diabetes. Calibration was satisfactory.ConclusionA points system was developed to predict frailty in older people using parameters that are easy to obtain and recorded in the clinical history. Future research should be carried out to externally validate the constructed model.
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