Research results on the effects of land cover change on water resources vary greatly and the topic remains controversial. Here we use published data worldwide to examine the validity of Fuh's equation, which relates annual water yield (R) to a wetness index (precipitation/ potential evapotranspiration; P/PET) and watershed characteristics (m). We identify two critical values at P/PET ¼ 1 and m ¼ 2. m plays a more important role than P/PET when mo2, and a lesser role when m42. When P/PETo1, the relative water yield (R/P) is more responsive to changes in m than it is when P/PET41, suggesting that any land cover changes in non-humid regions (P/PETo1) or in watersheds of low water retention capacity (mo2) can lead to greater hydrological responses. m significantly correlates with forest coverage, watershed slope and watershed area. This global pattern has far-reaching significance in studying and managing hydrological responses to land cover and climate changes.
[1] Changes in vegetation cover can significantly affect streamflow. Two common methods for estimating vegetation effects on streamflow are the paired catchment method and the time trend analysis technique. In this study, the performance of these methods is evaluated using data from paired catchments in Australia, New Zealand, and South Africa. Results show that these methods generally yield consistent estimates of the vegetation effect, and most of the observed streamflow changes are attributable to vegetation change. These estimates are realistic and are supported by the vegetation history. The accuracy of the estimates, however, largely depends on the length of calibration periods or pretreatment periods. For catchments with short or no pretreatment periods, we find that statistically identified prechange periods can be used as calibration periods. Because streamflow also responds to climate variability, in assessing streamflow changes it is necessary to consider the effect of climate in addition to the effect of vegetation. Here, the climate effect on streamflow was estimated using a sensitivity-based method that calculates changes in rainfall and potential evaporation. A unifying conceptual framework, based on the assumption that climate and vegetation are the only drivers for streamflow changes, enables comparison of all three methods. It is shown that these methods provide consistent estimates of vegetation and climate effects on streamflow for the catchments considered. An advantage of the time trend analysis and sensitivity-based methods is that they are applicable to nonpaired catchments, making them potentially useful in large catchments undergoing vegetation change.
Stream-flow and storm-flow in four small catchments were analysed by the paired catchment method for a response to fire. Two of the catchments were vegetated with over-mature fynbos (the indigenous scrub vegetation of the southwestern Cape Province, South Africa) , one was afforested to Pinus radiata and the fourth to Eucalyptus fastigata. One of the fynbos catchments was burned in a prescribed fire in the late dry season. The other catchments burned in wildfires. Neither of the fynbos catchments showed a change in storm-flows. Annual total flow increases of around 16% were in line with predictions, being related to the reductions in transpiration and interception. The manner of stream-flow and storm-flow generation appeared to have remained unaltered despite the fire. The two timber plantation catchments experienced large and significant increases in stormflow and sediment yields , while total flow increased by 12% in the pine catchment and decreased marginally in the eucalypt catchment. After fire , storm hydrographs were higher and steeper though their duration was little changed. These fire effects are considered to be due to changes in storm-flow generation consistent with an increased delivery of overland flow to the stream channel. This was caused , in part, by reduced infiltration resulting from water repellency in the soils of the burned catchments. The inherent wettability of a wide range of soil types and textures from beneath timber plantations and other vegetation types over a broad geographic distribution in South Africa was measured by fou r methods. Soils with high repellency ratings , unrelated to fire , are common and are most likely to occur beneath plantations of Eucalyptus and Acacia spp. and indigenous forest. Water repellent soils played a ro le, at two of the three locations, in the generation of overland flow from small plots exposed to simulated rainfall. However, the inherent repellency of the dry soils was extreme , such that fire-induced water repellency was not a factor in the response of the plots. The important role of fire in this experiment was in burning-off of repellency in the surface layer of the soil and in removing ground cover. III PREFACE The experimental work for this thesis was carried out in the experimental catchments of the Jonkershoek Forestry Research Centre near Stellenbosch and the Ntabamhlope research catchments near Estcourt, at field sites near Richmond and Mid-Illovo, Natal, and in the laboratories of the Jonkershoek Forestry Research Centre and the Departments of Agricultural Engineering and Agronomy of the University of Natal , Pietermaritzburg , under the supervision of Professor Roland E. Schulze. These studies represent my own original research and have not previously been submitted in any form for any degree or diploma to any University. Where use has been made of the work of others this is specifically acknowledged in the text.
LLDN seems to be at least as safe and efficacious as OLDN in the short-term. However, it remains a technique in evolution. Further high-quality studies are required to resolve some of the outstanding issues surrounding its use, in particular, long-term follow-up of donor complications and recipient graft function and survival.
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