This paper analyses winter severity and snow conditions in the Karkonosze Mountains and Jizera Mountains and examines their long-term trends. The analysis used modified comprehensive winter snowiness (WSW) and winter severity (WOW) indices as defined by Paczos (1982). An attempt was also made to determine the relationship between the WSW and WOW indices. Measurement data were obtained from eight stations operated by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management -National Research Institute (IMGW-PIB), from eight stations operated by the Czech Hydrological and Meteorological Institute (CHMI) and also from the Meteorological Observatory of the University of Wrocław (UWr) on Mount Szrenica. Essentially, the study covered the period from 1961 to 2015. In some cases, however, the period analysed was shorter due to the limited availability of data, which was conditioned, inter alia, by the period of operation of the station in question, and its type.Viewed on a macroscale, snow conditions in the Karkonosze Mountains and Jizera Mountains (in similar altitude zones) are clearly more favourable on southern slopes than on northern ones. In the study area, negative trends have been observed with respect to both the WSW and WOW indices-winters have become less snowy and warmer. The correlation between the WOW and WSW indices is positive. At stations with northern macroexposure, WOW and WSW show greater correlation than at ones with southern macroexposure. This relationship is the weakest for stations that are situated in the upper ranges (Mount Śnieżka and Mount Szrenica).
This paper presents the results of the analysis of the Western Sudetes' snow cover temporal and spatial changes, as well as it demonstrates the research on the long-term trends in the changes of snow cover durability. In order to conduct the study, the coefficient of snow cover durability (V) was used, which was defined as the quotient of the actual and the potential time of snow cover duration and expressed in percentage (1-100%). Moreover, the frequency of total disappearance of snow cover was established for the optimal winter season (December-March). Measurement data were obtained from 17 stations in the 1961-2015 period. The snow cover on the Western Sudetes' slopes with southern (S) macro-exposure lasts longer (has greater durability) than on the slopes in analogous altitude zones with northern (N) macro-exposure. At the altitudinal level of 600-700 m a.s.l., where the differences are the biggest, the average V values range from 60% at stations N to 75% in stations S. In the analysed area, excluding the upper ranges, slight negative trends in V changes have been noted. Snow cover persists for a shorter and shorter time. For the substantial majority of the stations, the trends in these changes are not statistically significant at the 0.05 level of statistical significance. They refer to the tendencies in other mountainous regions in Poland and Europe. Analogously, the stations with S macro-exposure, located at similar altitudes as stations with N macro-exposure, are characterised by two to three times lesser frequency of total disappearance of snow cover. Coefficient V is negatively correlated with the total disappearance of snow cover. At the stations with S macroexposure in the Western Sudetes, these correlations are usually strong or very strong, whereas at the stations with N macro-exposure, at similar altitudes, they are usually moderate or very weak.
This article discusses the reasons for shortening snow cover duration in the Western Sudetes, considering local changes in: air temperature; amount and type of precipitation; sunshine duration and atmospheric circulation leading to changes in the number of days with snow cover and its depth; and its start and end dates. All factors were linked to the exposure and relief of the study area. The analysis was made for the winter seasons (Nov–Apr) 1961/1962–2020/2021. It was found that the primary reasons for the shortening of snow cover duration in the Western Sudetes are: a multi‐year increase in air temperature and sunshine duration; changes in precipitation patterns—a decrease in the proportion of solid precipitation, changes in atmospheric circulation—including an increase in anticyclonic circulation types with sunny weather, especially in April (snow cover disappears in most of the elevation profile of the Sudetes); and less cyclonic weather types. The above factors synergistically affect the lower snow depth, and fewer days with solid precipitation, which promotes its faster spring ablation. In the subsequent 30 years (climatological norms), there is a successive shortening in its duration. On the snow cover start dates, there are no clear trends in the direction and rate of change. On end dates, negative trends are observed, in most cases statistically significant. The rate of change for the end dates of snow cover is about twice as high as the start dates. The rate of decline in snow cover is higher at stations at similar altitudes with northern macro‐exposure than southern. The results correspond with other studies from Europe and the world on the earlier disappearance of snow cover. They confirm the successive global warming and shortening snow cover duration, especially evident in the last few decades.
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