Time-series analysis has been a recognized method of prediction for years. In computing, prediction has revolved around scheduling problems and is used in computing time to manage resources in the short-term. Long-term prediction using these methods has proven to be problematic and of little use. However, with the rise of Information Technology (IT) and the need to manage resources in a business atmosphere, the need to provide long-term resource management remains a difficult problem without a good solution. At this time, IT professionals use experience and their best judgment to manage equipment and frequently purchase systems based on maximum requirements. The need to take the knowledge gained by computer science in scheduling now needs to be expanded into the realm of IT to facilitate a more economical use of resource availability. This work is just the first step and provides one path to accomplishing long-term prediction in computing.
Businesses have used forecasting to address inventory levels and staffing needs. By understanding longterm utilization of resources, businesses have been able to optimize the costs associated with those resources. To date, computing has used forecasting to address short-term needs for services like scheduling and load balancing. This paper presents a portion of a larger study that was conducted to determine if long-term prediction of a server's resources is possible. The result of that larger study indicates that server resources exhibit long-term predictability, opening the possibility for future research to improve business use of servers.
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