Time-Series Forecasting is a powerful data modeling discipline that analyzes historical observations to predict future values of a time-series. It has been utilized in numerous applications, including but not limited to economics, meteorology, and health. In this paper, we use time-series forecasting techniques to model and predict the future incidence of chickenpox. To achieve this, we implement and simulate multiple models and data preprocessing techniques on a Hungary-collected dataset. We demonstrate that the LSTM model outperforms all other models in the vast majority of the experiments in terms of county-level forecasting, whereas the SARIMAX model performs best at the national level. We also demonstrate that the performance of the traditional data preprocessing method is inferior to that of the data preprocessing method that we have proposed.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.