The substitution rates of transitions are higher than expected by chance relative to those of transversions. Many have argued that selection disfavors transversions, as nonsynonymous transversions are less likely to conserve biochemical properties of the original amino acid. Only recently has it become feasible to directly test this selective hypothesis by comparing the fitness effects of a large number of transition and transversion mutations. For example, a recent study of six viruses and one beta-lactamase gene did not find evidence supporting the selective hypothesis. Here, we analyze the relative fitness effects of transition and transversion mutations from our recently published genome-wide study of mutational fitness effects in influenza virus. In contrast to prior work, we find that transversions are significantly more detrimental than transitions. Using what we believe to be an improved statistical framework, we also identify a similar trend in two HIV data sets. We further demonstrate a fitness difference in transition and transversion mutations using four deep mutational scanning data sets of influenza virus and HIV, which provided adequate statistical power. We find that three of the most commonly cited radical/conservative amino acid categories are predictive of fitness, supporting their utility in studies of positive selection and codon usage bias. We conclude that selection is a major contributor to the transition:transversion substitution bias in viruses and that this effect is only partially explained by the greater likelihood of transversion mutations to cause radical as opposed to conservative amino acid changes.

Influenza remains a persistent public health challenge, because the rapid evolution of influenza viruses has led to marginal vaccine efficacy, antiviral resistance, and the annual emergence of novel strains. This evolvability is driven, in part, by the virus’s capacity to generate diversity through mutation and reassortment. Because many new traits require multiple mutations and mutations are frequently combined by reassortment, epistatic interactions between mutations play an important role in influenza virus evolution. While mutation and epistasis are fundamental to the adaptability of influenza viruses, they also constrain the evolutionary process in important ways. Here, we review recent work on mutational effects and epistasis in influenza viruses.

Patterns of epistasis and shapes of fitness landscapes are of wide interest because of their bearings on a number of evolutionary theories. The common phenomena of slowing fitness increases during adaptations and diminishing returns from beneficial mutations are believed to reflect a concave fitness landscape and a preponderance of negative epistasis. Paradoxically, fitness drops tend to decelerate and harm from deleterious mutations shrinks during accumulation of random mutations, patterns thought to indicate a convex fitness landscape and a predominance of positive epistasis. Current theories cannot resolve this apparent contradiction. Here we show that the phenotypic effect of a mutation varies substantially depending on the specific genetic background and that this idiosyncrasy in epistasis creates all of the above trends without requiring a biased distribution of epistasis. The idiosyncratic epistasis theory explains the universalities in mutational effects and evolutionary trajectories as emerging from randomness due to biological complexity.

Numerous virulence factors expressed by C. neoformans (C. neo) modulate host defenses by promoting non-protective Th2-biased adaptive immune responses. Prior studies demonstrate that the HSP70 homologue, Ssa1, significantly contributes to serotype-D C. neo virulence through the induction of laccase, a Th2-skewing and CNS-tropic factor. In the current study, we sought to determine whether Ssa1 modulates host defenses in mice infected with a highly virulent serotype A (serA) strain of C. neo (H99). To investigate this, we assessed pulmonary fungal growth, CNS dissemination, and survival in mice infected with either H99, an SSA1-deleted H99 strain (Δssa1), and a complement strain with restored SSA1 expression (Δssa1::SSA1). Mice infected with the Δssa1 strain displayed substantial reductions in lung fungal burden during the innate phase (days 3 and 7) of the host response whereas less pronounced reductions were observed during the adaptive phase (day 14) and mouse survival increased only by 5 days. Surprisingly, laccase activity assays revealed that Δssa1 was not laccase-deficient, demonstrating that H99 does not require Ssa1 for laccase expression, which explains the CNS tropism we still observed in the Ssa1-deficient strain. Lastly, our immunophenotyping studies showed that Ssa1 directly promotes early M2 skewing of lung mononuclear phagocytes during the innate, but not the adaptive phase of the immune response. We conclude that Ssa1’s virulence mechanism in H99 is distinct and laccase-independent. Ssa1 directly interferes with early macrophage polarization, limiting innate control of C. neo, but ultimately has no effect on cryptococcal control by adaptive immunity.

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