This research was conducted to determine the electrical energy demand of PT. PLN (Persero) UP3 Sukabumi using analytical methods, econometrics and trends in 2019-2029. This research used a combined method which was a method compiled by combining several the models such as econometrics, analysis, and trends with a sectoral approach which was an approach by grouping electricity consumers into four sectors, namely the household, commercial, public, and industrial sectors. The results showed that the population rate rose 0.36% per year, the growth GRDP rate rose 6.26%; the number of electricity customers in the household sector rose 5.26% per year, the number of commercial electricity customers rose by 13.96% per year, the number of public sector electricity customers rose 7.58% per year, and the number of industrial sector electricity customers rose 3.53 % per year. it can be concluded that over the next 10 years the electricity demand will increase by 3,080.83 Gwh with an average growth of 10.69% per year.
The purpose of this study is to find out how much electric load to Sukabumi from 2019 until 2029 at PT. PLN (Persero) UP3 Sukabumi. Forecasting of electrical load using historical data. This research uses a combined method, which is a method compiled by combining several models such as econometrics, analysis, and trends with a sectoral approach, which is an approach by grouping electricity consumers into four sectors, namely the resident, commercial, public, and industrial sectors. The population forecast of Sukabumi in 2019-2029 shows an average growth of 0.36% per year. Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) for resident sector growth of 6.26% per year, commercial sector growth of 6.26% per year, public sector growth of 6.26% per year, and the industrial sector growth of 10.07% per year. The electric customers for the resident sector growth of 5.26%, commercial sector growth of 13.96% per year, public sector growth of 7.58% per year, and industrial sector growth of 3.53% per year. The electric contracted power for the resident sector growth of 5.19% per year, commercial sector growth of 14.96% per year, public sector growth of 7.28% per year, and industrial sector growth of 3.36% per year. Growth of population, GRDP, number of electric customers, and power contracted, as shown in forecasting 2019-2029, will affect to increasing electrical load. The total electrical load will be 1,054.22 MVA in 2019 and 2,043.80 MVA in 2029 or growth of 6.74% per year.
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