Илов Н. Н.*-к.м.н., доцент кафедры сердечно-сосудистой хирургии, врачсердечно-сосудистый хирург отделения хирургического лечения сложных нарушений ритма сердца и электрокардиостимуляции, ORCID: 0000-0003-1294-9646, Пальникова О. В.-врач-кардиолог отделения хирургического лечения сложных нарушений ритма сердца и электрокардиостимуляции, ORCID: 0000-0002-4476-5174, Стомпель Д. Р.-зав. отделением функциональной диагностики, ORCID: 0000-0002-2400-8045, Николаева Е. В.-зав. отделением лучевой диагностики, ORCID: 0000-0001-5701-2449, Нечепуренко А. А.-к.м.н., зав. отделением хирургического лечения сложных нарушений ритма сердца и электрокардиостимуляции, ORCID: 0000-0001-5722-9883.
Aim To evaluate the diagnostic significance of clinical and demographic parameters for predicting a 2-year probability of ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VT) in patients with chronic heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (CHFrLVEF).Material and methods This single-center, prospective cohort study included 175 patients with CHFrLVEF who were implanted with a cardioverter defibrillator (CD). The endpoint was a CD-detected episode of VT. Patients were followed up for 2 years with visits at 3, 12, and 24 months after CD implantation.Results The primary endpoint was observed in 43 (24.4 %) patients at an average of 20.9 months (95 % confidence interval (CI), 20–21.9). The 2-year risk of fatal ventricular arrhythmias increased with detection of unstable VT (one-factor analysis, odds ratio (OR), 4.2; 95 % CI, 1.1–16.5; р=0.041; multifactor analysis, OR, 6.3; 95 % CI, 1.5–26.3; р=0.012) and with ischemic CHFrLVEF origin (one-factor analysis, OR, 2.2; 95 % CI, 1.1–4.5; p=0.021; multifactor analysis, OR, 2.5; 95 % CI, 1.2–5.1; р=0.018). In the presence of any type of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with non-ischemic CHFrLVEF, the probability of VT increased threefold (one-factor analysis, OR, 2.97; 95 % CI, 1.02–8.8; р=0.047; multifactor analysis, OR, 3.5; 95 % CI, 1.1–10.9; р=0.032).Conclusion The presence of ischemic heart disease and unstable VT paroxysms can be included in the number of important clinical predictors of VT in patients with CHFrLVEF. In patients with non-ischemic CHF, the presence of AF is associated with a high risk of VT.
TThe data indicate differences in the adverse outcomes of chronic heart failure (CHF) in both ischemic (ICMP) and non-ischemic origins. The knowledge of the structural and functional myocardial state, especially of the left ventricle (LV), is insufficient for accurate risk stratification of unfavorable events in different etiopathogenetic forms of CHF.Aim. To make a comparative analysis of echocardiographic characteristics of CHF patients with reduced LV ejection fraction (EF) ≤35% depending on the origin of CHF.Material and methods. 498 patients of CHF 3-4 functional class of NYHA (New-York Heart Association) with EF ≤35% taking optimal drug therapy were included in the study. Based on the etiology of CHF, two groups of patients with CHF of ischemic genesis (n=254) and dilated cardiomyopathy (DCMP, n=244) were formed. Two-dimensional echocardiography techniques in Band M-mode, color Doppler, and tissue Doppler imaging were carried out.Results. Patients with ICMP and DCMP had the same pattern of LV remodeling (mainly on the type of eccentric hypertrophy), but they reliably differed in the basic parameters of LV architectonics: endsystolic and end-diastolic dimensions, LV volume, LV myocardial mass and values of these indicators, indexed by body surface area. DCMP patients had a higher value of medial-lateral dimension and volume of left atrial, pathological mitral and tricuspid regurgitation was registered more often.Conclusion. It was found that left heart dimensions and volumes of DCMP patients exceed similar parameters in patients with ICMP. The possible association of the results with future adverse outcomes of CHF demands further research.
Abstract. Cerebral neurological complications (CNC) are the most common form of infective endocarditis (IE) extracardiac manifestations. They have important clinical implications, which justifies the need to study them.Purpose of the study: to evaluate symptomatic CNC (prevalence, predictors, effect on the prognosis) in patients with «left-sided» IE who have undergone cardiac surgery, according to the register of the Federal Center for Cardiovascular Surgery.Materials and methods. A retrospective review of data from the hospital information system was carried out in one of the Federal Centers for Cardiovascular Surgery of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation. In patients with significant/probable «left-sided» (mitral and/or aortic valves) acute/subacute IE at age of ≥ 18 years, the frequency of CNC and their subtypes was assessed, predictors and effect on the prognosis of the disease were determined. Differences between groups of patients depending on the status of the presence of CNC were assessed using the χ2 test, Fisher’s exact test and the Mann–Whitney test. Binary cross tables were further analyzed to calculate the odds ratio (OR). Integral predictive models were also built using the logistic regression algorithm. To assess the effect of CNC on patient survival, Kaplan–Meier analysis was used with the construction of survival curves.Results. For the analysis, 222 cases of IE in 216 patients were used. The incidence of CNC was 25.7% (19.4% – ischemic stroke, 5.4% – intracranial hemorrhage, 2.7% – meningitis, encephalitis and/or abscess). CNC predictors were embologenic vegetations: size > 10 mm (OR 6.3; 95% CI: 3.0–13.0), mobile (OR 8.5; 95% CI: 3.2–22.3) and multiple (OR 4.9; 95% CI: 2.1–11.4) vegetation; the level of white blood cells ≥ 10 × 109/L (OR 2.1, 1.1–3.8), as well as systemic embolism (OR 3.6; 95% CI: 1.6–7.9). The accuracy of the logistic regression model obtained using the above predictors was 83% (on the test set). No effect of CNC on the prognosis (in-hospital and long-term mortality, stroke in the long-term period) was found.Conclusion. Neurological complications have a high prevalence, occurring in one in four patients with «left-sided» IE. Ischemic stroke is the most common subtype of CNC, and vegetation characteristics are a determining factor of the embologenic potential of endocarditis. There was no effect on the prognosis (in-hospital and long-term mortality) in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
Aim. To perform a comparative analysis of indicators of transthoracic echocardiography (TE), to establish echocardiographic predictors and their predictive role in the occurrence of stable ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VT) paroxysms in patients with nonischemic chronic heart failure (HF) and cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implanted for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death.Material and Methods. A prospective study was carried out, which included 166 patients with nonischemic HF at the age of 54 (49; 59) years with the left ventricle ejection fraction (LV EF) ≤35% and an ICD implanted. The observation time was 24 months. The primary endpoint was the first-ever stable paroxysm of VT (lasting for ≥30 seconds), detected in the «monitor» zone of VT, or paroxysm of VT, which required ICD therapy. A total of 34 TE indicators were evaluated. Chi-square, Fischer, Manna-Whitney, single-factor logistic regression (LR), and multi-factor LR were used for data processing and analysis and for predictive modelling. Model accuracy was estimated using 4 metrics: ROC curve area (AUC), sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic efficiency.Results. During the two-year observation, 32 patients (19.3%) had a primary endpoint. The average time of occurrence of a stable VT episode was 21.6±0.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 20.5-22.8 months). The value of LV end-systolic dimension was the only parameter independently associated with VT (odds ratio 2.8 per unit increase, 95% CI 1.04-7.5; p=0.042). The complex analysis of echocardiographic indicators made it possible to identify 5 factors with the greatest predictive potential, which are linearly and nonlinearly related to occurrence of VT. These included the LV end-diastolic and end-systolic volumes, LV mass, index of relative LV wall thickness, upper-lower size of the right atrium. The metrics of the best predictive model were: AUC – 0.71 0.069 with 95% CI 0.574-0.843; specificity 50%, sensitivity 90.9%; diagnostic efficiency 57.1%.Conclusion. The study made it possible to evaluate the possibilities of the results of TE in predicting the probability of VT occurrence in patients with nonischemic HF and reduced LV EF. Predictive indicators have been identified that can be used to stratify the arrhythmic risk in the exposed cohort of patients.
Aim. To study the mortality rate of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) within a year after implantation of cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD), to evaluate the potential of its prediction using transthoracic echocardiography.Material and methods. The study included 384 patients with NYHA class 3-4 heart failure with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35%, who were scheduled for ICD implantation for the primary prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD). After ICD implantation, enrolled patients were followed up for a year to record the primary endpoint of death due to ADHF.Results. During the 1-year follow-up, the primary endpoint was recorded in 38 patients (10%). A univariate logistic regression identified 14 echocardiographic parameters with the highest predictive potential (p<0,1) associated with the studied endpoint. Based on multivariate regression analysis, a prognostic model was developed, which included three factors with the highest statistical significance: LVEF, right atrial (RA) medial-lateral size, and pulmonary artery systolic pressure. The diagnostic efficiency of the model was 78,7% (sensitivity, 82,4%; specificity, 78,3%). A decrease in LVEF ≤28% and an increase in (RA) medial-lateral size ≥3,9 cm were found to be independent predictors of the studied endpoint.Conclusion. Approximately 10% of HFrEF patients selected for ICD implantation for primary prevention of SCD die due to ADHF during the 1-year follow-up. Transthoracic echocardiography has potential to predict this outcome.
Aim To compare variables of transthoracic EchoCG for determining echocardiographic predictors and their prognostic role in the development of persistent paroxysmal ventricular tachyarrhythmias (VT) in patients with ischemic CHF who had been implanted with a cardioverter defibrillator (CD) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death.Material and methods This single-site prospective study included 176 patients with CHF of ischemic origin aged 58.7±7.4 years with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LV EF) of 30 % [25; 34] % who had been implanted with CD. The follow-up duration was 24 months. The primary endpoint was a newly developed persistent paroxysm of VT (duration ≥30 sec) detected in the “monitored” VT area or a VT paroxysm that required electric treatment. The echocardiographic picture was evaluated by 28 variables. Statistical analysis was performed with the c2, Fisher’s, and Mann—Whitney tests, and the one-factor logistic regression (LR). Prognostic models were developed with a multifactorial LR. The model accuracy was evaluated by 4 metrics: area under the ROC (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic efficacy.Results The primary endpoint was observed in 60 (34 %) patients. Mean time to a persistent VT episode was 19.2±0.8 months (95 % confident interval (CI): 17.5–20.8). Superior-inferior dimensions of the right and left atria (RA and LA, respectively) and the left atrial volume (LAv) were independent predictors for VT. The odds of VT development in patients of the study cohort increased with RAl ≥4.5 cm (odds ratio (OR), 1.6; 95 % CI: 1.4–1.9; р=0.03), LAl ≥5.5 cm (OR, 2.5; 95 % CI: 1.01–6.1; р=0.04), LAv ≥95 ml (OR, 3.2; 95 % CI: 1.3–17.5; р=0.01). A comprehensive analysis of echocardiographic variables proved the prognostic potential of LAv that was linearly associated with the development of VT. The metrics of the best prognostic model were AUC 0.7±0.07 with 95 % CI: 0.54–0.83; specificity, 20.9 %; sensitivity, 95.7 %; and diagnostic efficacy, 47 %.Conclusion This study allowed evaluation of capabilities of transthoracic EchoCG for predicting the probability of VT in patients with CHF of ischemic origin and reduced LV EF. It was shown that linear and volumetric atrial dimensions could be used for stratification of risk of VT and for determining the tactics for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death in this patient category.
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