The problem of irrigation planning becomes more complex by considering an uncertainty. The uncertainties can be tackled by formulating the problem of irrigation planning as Fuzzy Linear Programming (FLP). FLP models can incorporate the scenario of real world problem. In the present study, Multi Objective Fuzzy Linear Programming (MOFLP) irrigation planning model is formulated for deriving the optimal cropping pattern plan for the case study of Jayakwadi project in the Godavari river sub basin in Maharashtra State, India. Four conflicting objectives are considered such as Net Benefits (NB), Crop/Yield Production (CP), Employment Generation/Labour Requirement (EG) and Manure Utilization (MU). Four different cases are considered to incorporate the uncertainty in MOFLP model. To include the uncertainty in irrigation planning problem only objectives are taken as fuzzy and constraints are crisp in nature in Case-I. To consider the uncertainty involved in availability of resources, in Case-II the stipulations are fuzzy. The technological coefficients are fuzzy in Case-III. The Case-IV includes both technological coefficients and stipulations fuzzy. The level of satisfaction (λ) works out to be 0.58, 0.50, 0.50 and 0.28 respectively for Case-I to IV. The results obtained in Case-IV are more realistic and promising as it involves the uncertainty in technological coefficients and stipulations simultaneously.
A Multi objective, Multireservoir operation model for maximization of irrigation releases and maximization of hydropower production is proposed using Genetic Algorithm. These objectives are fuzzified and are simultaneously maximized by defining and then maximizing level of satisfaction (λ). In the present study a multireservoir system in Godavari River sub basin in Maharashtra State, India is considered. Problem is formulated with four reservoirs and a barrage. A monthly Multi Objective Genetic Algorithm Fuzzy Optimization (MOGAFUOPT) model for the present study is developed in 'C' Language. The optimal operation policy for maximization of irrigation releases, maximization of hydropower production and maximization of level of satisfaction is presented for existing demand in command area. The entire range of optimal operation policies, for different levels of satisfaction i.e. λ (ranging from 0 to 1), are determined. From the relationships developed amongst irrigation releases, hydropower production and level of satisfaction, a three dimensional (3-D) surface covering the whole range of policies has been developed. This solution surface can be the basis for decision makers for implementing the policies. Considering the future requirements in the command area, both the irrigation and hydropower demands are increased by 10 and 20%. The optimal operation policy for maximization of irrigation releases, maximization of hydropower production and maximization of level of satisfaction is also presented for these cases. The 3-D solution surface is also developed in these cases.
In the present study SDSM downscaling model was used as a tool for downscaling weather data statistically in upper Godavari river basin. Two Global Climate Models (GCMs), CGCM3 and HadCM3, have been used to project future maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin) and precipitation. The predictor variables are extracted from: 1) the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis dataset for the period 1961-2003, 2) the simulations from the third-generation Hadlycentre Coupled Climate Model (HadCM3) and Coupled Global Climate Model (CGCM3) variability and changes in Tmax, Tmin and precipitation under scenarios A1B and A2 of CGCM3 model and A2 and B2 of HadCM3 model have been presented for future periods: 2020s, 2050s and 2080s. The scatter-plots and cross-correlations are used for verifying the reliability of the simulation. Maximum temperature increases in future for almost all the scenarios for both GCMs. Also downscaled future precipitation shows increasing trends for all scenarios.
The objective of this paper is to develop the irrigation planning model and to apply the same in the form of Multi Objective Fuzzy Linear Programming (MOFLP) approach for crop planning in command area of Jayakwadi Project Stage I, Maharashtra State, India. To formulate MOFLP model various Linear Programming (LP) models are developed to optimize the Net Benefits (NB), Crop/Yield Production (YP), Employment Generation (EG) and Manure Utilization (MU) for which the objective function and constraints are crisp in nature. From the results of these LP models the linear membership function for each individual objective function has been developed. Considering the decision makers satisfaction level (λ), all the four objectives are maximized simultaneously. The results of the MOFLP and LP are compared. The MOFLP model concentrates on satisfying four objectives simultaneously. The present model will be helpful for the decision maker to take decision under conflicting situation when planning for different objectives simultaneously. The degree of satisfaction λ, works out to be 0.58. Compromised solution provides Net Benefits 1503.73 Million Rupees, Crop Production 319563.50 Tons, Employment Generation/Labour Requirement 29.74 Million Man days and Manure Utilization 154506.50 Tons respectively
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