Different research communities have developed various approaches to assess the credibility of predictive models. Each approach usually works well for a specific type of model, and under some epistemic conditions that are normally satisfied within that specific research domain. Some regulatory agencies recently started to consider evidences of safety and efficacy on new medical products obtained using computer modelling and simulation (which is referred to as In Silico Trials); this has raised the attention in the computational medicine research community on the regulatory science aspects of this emerging discipline. But this poses a foundational problem: in the domain of biomedical research the use of computer modelling is relatively recent, without a widely accepted epistemic framing for model credibility. Also, because of the inherent complexity of living organisms, biomedical modellers tend to use a variety of modelling methods, sometimes mixing them in the solution of a single problem. In such context merely adopting credibility approaches developed within other research communities might not be appropriate. In this paper we propose a theoretical framing for assessing the credibility of a predictive models for In Silico Trials, which accounts for the epistemic specificity of this research field and is general enough to be used for different type of models.

Summary Finite element simulation is a powerful tool to study and predict the wear behavior of different mechanical systems. However, the high computational cost required to obtain accurate numerical solutions is a crucial aspect especially for large and complex models. The present study proposes a possible solution to overcome this limitation by exploiting the potentiality of the submodeling technique, whose application to wear problem is still rare in the literature. A global‐local approach for wear analysis is presented and validated for a simple pin‐on‐disk wear test. In a preliminary step, different submodeling techniques were implemented and compared. They differed for the quantity (nodal forces and/or displacements) transferred from the global model to the local one. Numerical models have been developed in Ansys® mechanical APDL using its new wear simulation and mesh smoothing routines. Results suggest that the proposed strategy can significantly reduce the computational cost of finite element wear models. Some interesting points on the use of submodeling in contact problems are also discussed.

Background The STriTuVaD project, funded by Horizon 2020, aims to test through a Phase IIb clinical trial one of the most advanced therapeutic vaccines against tuberculosis. As part of this initiative, we have developed a strategy for generating in silico patients consistent with target population characteristics, which can then be used in combination with in vivo data on an augmented clinical trial. Results One of the most challenging tasks for using virtual patients is developing a methodology to reproduce biological diversity of the target population, ie, providing an appropriate strategy for generating libraries of digital patients. This has been achieved through the creation of the initial immune system repertoire in a stochastic way, and through the identification of a vector of features that combines both biological and pathophysiological parameters that personalise the digital patient to reproduce the physiology and the pathophysiology of the subject. Conclusions We propose a sequential approach to sampling from the joint features population distribution in order to create a cohort of virtual patients with some specific characteristics, resembling the recruitment process for the target clinical trial, which then can be used for augmenting the information from the physical the trial to help reduce its size and duration.