This study was designed to test the diagnostic value of visibility graph features derived from the heart rate time series to predict late onset sepsis (LOS) in preterm infants using machine learning. Methods: The heart rate variability (HRV) data was acquired from 49 premature newborns hospitalized in neonatal intensive care units (NICU). The LOS group consisted of patients who received more than five days of antibiotics, at least 72 hours after birth. The control group consisted of infants who did not receive antibiotics. HRV features in the days prior to the start of antibiotics (LOS group) or in a randomly selected period (control group) were compared against a baseline value calculated during a calibration period. After automatic feature selection, four machine learning algorithms were trained. All the tests were done using two variants of the feature set: one only included traditional HRV features, and the other additionally included visibility graph features. Performance was studied using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). Results: The best performance for detecting LOS was obtained with logistic regression, using the feature set including visibility graph features, with AUROC of 87.7% during the six hours preceding the start of antibiotics, and with predictive potential (AUROC above 70%) as early as 42h before start of antibiotics. Conclusion: These results demonstrate the usefulness of introducing visibility graph indexes in HRV analysis for sepsis prediction in newborns. Significance: The method proposed the possibility of non-invasive, real-time monitoring of risk of LOS in a NICU setting.
This study was designed to test if heart rate variability (HRV) data from preterm and full-term infants could be used to estimate their functional maturational age (FMA), using a machine learning model. We propose that the FMA, and its deviation from the postmenstrual age (PMA) of the infants could inform physicians about the progress of the maturation of the infants. The HRV data was acquired from 50 healthy infants, born between 25 and 41 weeks of gestational age, who did not present any signs of abnormal maturation relative to their age group during the period of observation. The HRV features were used as input for a machine learning model that uses filtering and genetic algorithms for feature selection, and an ensemble machine learning (EML) algorithm, which combines linear and random forest regressions, to produce as output a FMA. Using HRV data, the FMA had a mean absolute error of 0.93 weeks, 95% CI [0.78, 1.08], compared to the PMA. These results demonstrate that HRV features of newborn infants can be used by an EML model to estimate their FMA. This method was also generalized using respiration rate variability (RRV) and bradycardia data, obtaining similar results. The FMA, predicted either by HRV, RRV or bradycardia, and its deviation from the true PMA of the infants, could be used as a surrogate measure of the maturational age of the infants, which could potentially be monitored noninvasively and in real-time in the setting of neonatal intensive care units.
Background: The definition of late-onset bacterial sepsis (LOS) in very preterm infants is not unified. The objective was to assess the concordance of LOS diagnosis between experts in neonatal infection and international classifications and to evaluate the potential impact on heart rate variability and rate of “bronchopulmonary dysplasia or death”. Methods: A retrospective (2017–2020) multicenter study including hospitalized infants born before 31 weeks of gestation with intention to treat at least 5-days with antibiotics was performed. LOS was classified as “certain or probable” or “doubtful” independently by five experts and according to four international classifications with concordance assessed by Fleiss’s kappa test. Results: LOS was suspected at seven days (IQR: 5–11) of life in 48 infants. Following expert classification, 36 of them (75%) were considered as “certain or probable” (kappa = 0.41). Following international classification, this number varied from 13 to 46 (kappa = −0.08). Using the expert classification, “bronchopulmonary dysplasia or death” occurred less frequently in the doubtful group (25% vs. 78%, p < 0.001). Differences existed in HRV changes between the two groups. Conclusion: The definition of LOS is not consensual with a low international and moderate inter-observer agreement. This affects the evaluation of associated organ dysfunction and prognosis.
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