No abstract

No abstract

Slopes that are terraced by means of dry-stone retaining walls are very common in the alpine environment. In Valtellina, a typical Italian alpine valley, these slopes are widespread and quite often involved in superficial mass movements that can result in severe damage and casualties. For an in-depth understanding of the processes that can trigger these events, numerical modeling of groundwater movement and a related stability analysis were performed on a detailed scale, based on an intensive monitoring of rainfall events and groundwater movement. Field observations suggest that the formation of a perched groundwater table at the contact between the bedrock and the backfill soil of walls as well as the concomitant saturation of this backfill soil are the determining factors of potential slope failure. The numerical models support these observations. In addition, the models are able to explain the mechanisms of formation of perched water tables, highlighting the factors that can influence groundwater levels and slope instabilities.

High-resolution gridded daily data sets are essential for natural resource management and the analyses of climate changes and their effects. This study aims to evaluate the performance of 15 simple or complex interpolation techniques in reproducing daily precipitation at a resolution of 1 km 2 over topographically complex areas. Methods are tested considering two different sets of observation densities and different rainfall amounts. We used rainfall data that were recorded at 74 and 145 observational stations, respectively, spread over the 5760 km 2 of the Republic of Cyprus, in the Eastern Mediterranean. Regression analyses utilizing geographical copredictors and neighboring interpolation techniques were evaluated both in isolation and combined. Linear multiple regression (LMR) and geographically weighted regression methods (GWR) were tested. These included a step-wise selection of covariables, as well as inverse distance weighting (IDW), kriging, and 3D-thin plate splines (TPS). The relative rank of the different techniques changes with different station density and rainfall amounts. Our results indicate that TPS performs well for low station density and large-scale events and also when coupled with regression models. It performs poorly for high station density. The opposite is observed when using IDW. Simple IDW performs best for local events, while a combination of step-wise GWR and IDW proves to be the best method for large-scale events and high station density. This study indicates that the use of step-wise regression with a variable set of geographic parameters can improve the interpolation of large-scale events because it facilitates the representation of local climate dynamics.