Methods to detect outliers in network flow measurements that may be due to pipe bursts or unusual consumptions are fundamental to improve water distribution system on-line operation and management, and to ensure reliable historical data for sustainable planning and design of these systems. To detect and classify anomalous events in flow data from district metering areas a four-step methodology was adopted, implemented and tested: i) data acquisition, ii) data validation and normalization, iii) anomalous observation detection, iv) anomalous event detection and characterization. This approach is based on the renewed concept of outlier regions and depends on a reduced number of configuration parameters: the number of past observations, the true positive rate and the false positive rate. Results indicate that this approach is flexible and applicable to the detection of different types of events (e.g., pipe burst, unusual consumption) and to different flow time series (e.g., instantaneous, minimum night flow).
Large wood is often transported by rivers into reservoirs during heavy rainfall events. When a critical section like a spillway is blocked and discharge capacity reduced, an uncontrolled increase of the reservoir water level may occur. This study aims to statistically analyse the importance of repetitions for the accuracy of experimental campaigns when studying blocking probabilities at ogee crested spillways equipped with piers. Systematic and reliable estimations based on physical models are critical for developing preventive measures against large wood blockage. Two statistical methods have been described and applied to calculate confidence intervals. A minimum number of repetitions for a maximum acceptable error is recommended for blocking probabilities. The minimum number of experimental repetitions has been statistically justified in accordance with a reasonable use of resources for experimental campaigns. In addition, a maximum acceptable level of error is proposed as a common metric of accuracy in large wood studies.
Schizophrenia is a chronic psychotic disorder characterized by the disruption of thought processes, perception, cognition, and behaviors, for which there is still a lack of objective and quantitative biomarkers in brain activity. Using functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from an open-source database, this study investigated differences between the dynamic exploration of resting-state networks in 71 schizophrenia patients and 74 healthy controls. Focusing on recurrent states of phase coherence in fMRI signals, brain activity was examined for intergroup differences through the lens of dynamical systems theory. Results showed reduced fractional occupancy and dwell time of a globally synchronized state in schizophrenia. Conversely, patients exhibited increased fractional occupancy, dwell time and limiting probability of being in states during which canonical functional networks—i.e., Limbic, Dorsal Attention and Somatomotor—synchronized in anti-phase with respect to the rest of the brain. In terms of state-to-state transitions, patients exhibited increased probability of switching to Limbic, Somatomotor and Visual networks, and reduced probability of remaining in states related to the Default Mode network, the Orbitofrontal network and the globally synchronized state. All results revealed medium to large effect sizes. Combined, these findings expose pronounced differences in the temporal expression of resting-state networks in schizophrenia patients, which may relate to the pathophysiology of this disorder. Overall, these results reinforce the utility of dynamical systems theory to extend current knowledge regarding disrupted brain dynamics in psychiatric disorders.
Large wood increases the morphological and hydraulic complexity of rivers, yet it may block and modify the flood discharge capacity of hydraulic structures. To assess the related risk, blockage probability estimation for hydraulic structures such as reservoir spillways is needed. This work presents unstudied parameters for blockage of large wood with a reservoir‐type approach flow, where the inflow velocity has a negligible magnitude. Experiments were conducted in a channel with an ogee crested spillway equipped with piers, representing a commonly used hydraulic structure. Artificial stems were used to systematically evaluate the influence of stem length and stem draft on the blocking process. Different hydraulic conditions were evaluated by changing the water level in the reservoir. The head at the spillway crest with respect to stem draft was found to be a key parameter for blockage probability estimation at a spillway. Additionally, stem length was related to the bay width in the estimation of blockage. Larger heads tend to reduce the blocking probability of large wood, for a given stem draft, while increasing the relative stem length tends to increase the blocking probability. A logistic regression model is provided to estimate large wood blockage probability at ogee crested spillways with piers. Finally, recommendations for engineering practice are presented.
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