Background Lower muscle mass is a known predictor of unfavorable outcome, but its prognostic impact on COVID-19 patients is unknown. Purpose To investigate the contribution of CT-derived muscle status in predicting clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. Materials and Methods Clinical/laboratory data and outcomes (intensive care unit [ICU] admission and death) were retrospectively retrieved for patients with reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction-confirmed COVID-19, who underwent chest CT on admission in four hospitals in Northern Italy from February 21 to April 30, 2020. Extent and type of pulmonary involvement, mediastinal lymphadenopathy, and pleural effusion were assessed. Cross-sectional areas and attenuation of paravertebral muscles were measured on axial CT images at T5 and T12 vertebral level. Multivariable linear and binary logistic regression, including calculation odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were used to build four models to predict ICU admission and death, tested and compared using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. Results A total 552 patients (364 men; median age 65 years, interquartile range 54–75) were included. In a CT-based model, lower-than-median T5 paravertebral muscle area showed the highest ORs for ICU admission (OR 4.8, 95% CI 2.7–8.5; P <.001) and death (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.0–2.9; P =.027). When clinical variables were included in the model, lower-than-median T5 paravertebral muscle area still showed the highest ORs both for ICU admission (OR 4.3; 95% CI 2.5–7.7; P <.001) and death (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3–3.7; P =.001). At ROC analysis, the CT-based model and the model including clinical variables showed the same area under the curve (AUC) for ICU admission prediction (AUC 0.83, P =.380) and were not different in predicting death (AUC 0.86 versus AUC 0.87, respectively, P =.282). Conclusion In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, lower muscle mass on CT was independently associated with ICU admission and hospital mortality.

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Although gastrointestinal hemorrhage from aorto-enteric fistulae (AEF) secondary to previous aortic grafts are well known, a primary aorto-enteric fistula (PAEF) without aortic aneurysm is an extremely rare event resulting in poor prognosis and outcome. PAEF is a rare cause of gastro-intestinal (GI) bleeding that radiologists should consider because often its presence is not easily guessed by clinical features. It is difficult to detect at Computed Tomography (CT) examination therefore PAEF might be not diagnosed until a laparotomy. We report a case of a 74-year-old Italian male who presented to our Emergency Department (ED) with brightly red rectal bleeding that occurred from some hours and a pre-syncopal episode. There was no history of analgesic abuse, peptic ulceration, alcohol excess, weight loss. Standard resuscitation was commenced with the hope that common sources of bleeding such as peptic ulcers or varices would eventually be discovered by endoscopy and treated definitely. An upper GI endoscopy showed brightly red blood in the stomach and in the first portions of duodenum, but no source of active bleeding was found. Diagnosis of PAEF was made by Computed tomography (CT) and after confirmed during surgical intervention. Both the duodenum and the aorta were successfully repaired by direct suture and synthetic graft replacement respectively. Diagnosis of primary aortic duodenal fistula (ADF) has been very difficult in this case especially because our patient didn’t have abdominal aortic aneurism (AAA) history confirmed by CT examination. Radiologist should remember that upper GI bleeding could however be determined by primary ADF also if atherosclerotic damage is severe as in this case. A technically good and complete exam is mandatory to achieve this rare and complex diagnosis. Particularly, an ultra-tardive acquisition phase (5 min after contrast administration) could be helpful to suspect the presence of PADF: the appearance of contrast into the duodenal lumen is an evocative sign useful to increase clinical and radiological suspicious of ADF. Gl bleeding should be assumed to be caused from a PAEF unless another source can be identified without delay. A timely and accurate diagnosis of primary AEF may be challenging due to insidious episodes of GI bleeding, which are frequently under diagnosed until the occurrence of massive hemorrhage.