Background Globally, mortality rates of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) have decreased over the last two decades. However, evaluations of the temporal trends in the characteristics and outcomes of ICU patients in Asia are limited. The objective of this study was to describe the characteristics and risk adjusted outcomes of all patients admitted to publicly funded ICUs in Hong Kong over a 11-year period. The secondary objective was to validate the predictive performance of Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV for ICU patients in Hong Kong. Methods This was an 11-year population-based retrospective study of all patients admitted to adult general (mixed medical-surgical) intensive care units in Hong Kong public hospitals. ICU patients were identified from a population electronic health record database. Prospectively collected APACHE IV data and clinical outcomes were analysed. Results From 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2019, there were a total of 133,858 adult ICU admissions in Hong Kong public hospitals. During this time, annual ICU admissions increased from 11,267 to 14,068, whilst hospital mortality decreased from 19.7 to 14.3%. The APACHE IV standard mortality ratio (SMR) decreased from 0.81 to 0.65 during the same period. Linear regression demonstrated that APACHE IV SMR changed by − 0.15 (95% CI − 0.18 to − 0.11) per year (Pearson’s R = − 0.951, p < 0.001). Observed median ICU length of stay was shorter than that predicted by APACHE IV (1.98 vs. 4.77, p < 0.001). C-statistic for APACHE IV to predict hospital mortality was 0.889 (95% CI 0.887 to 0.891) whilst calibration was limited (Hosmer–Lemeshow test p < 0.001). Conclusions Despite relatively modest per capita health expenditure, and a small number of ICU beds per population, Hong Kong consistently provides a high-quality and efficient ICU service. Number of adult ICU admissions has increased, whilst adjusted mortality has decreased over the last decade. Although APACHE IV had good discrimination for hospital mortality, it overestimated hospital mortality of critically ill patients in Hong Kong.
BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) is a preventable and curable disease, but mortality remains high among those who develop sepsis and critical illness from TB.MethodsThis was a population-based, multicentre retrospective cohort study of patients admitted to all 15 publicly funded Hong Kong adult intensive care units (ICUs) between 1 April 2008 and 31 March 2019. 940 adult critically ill patients with at least one positive Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) culture were identified out of 133 858 ICU admissions. Generalised linear modelling was used to determine the impact of delay in TB treatment on hospital mortality. Trend of annual Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV-adjusted standardised mortality ratio (SMR) over the 11-year period was analysed by Mann-Kendall’s trend test.ResultsICU and hospital mortality were 24.7% (232/940) and 41.1% (386/940), respectively. Of those who died in the ICU, 22.8% (53/232) never received antituberculosis drugs. SMR for ICU patients with TB remained unchanged over the study period (Kendall’s τb=0.37, p=0.876). After adjustment for age, Charlson comorbidity index, APACHE IV, albumin, vasopressors, mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy, delayed TB treatment was directly associated with hospital mortality. In 302/940 (32.1%) of patients, TB could only be established from MTB cultures alone as Ziehl-Neelsen staining or PCR was either not performed or negative. Among this group, only 31.1% (94/302) had concurrent MTB PCR performed.ConclusionsSurvival of ICU patients with TB has not improved over the last decade and mortality remains high. Delay in TB treatment was associated with higher hospital mortality. Use of MTB PCR may improve diagnostic yield and facilitate early treatment.
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