Given a family of Calabi-Yau varieties over the punctured disc or over the field of Laurent series, we show that, after a finite base change, the family can be exended across the origin while keeping the canonical class trivial. More generally, we prove similar extension results for families whose log-canonical class is semi-ample. We use these to show that the Berkovich and essential skeleta agree for smooth varieties over C((t)) with semi-ample canonical class.
Linear quantile regression is a powerful tool to investigate how predictors may affect a response heterogeneously across different quantile levels. Unfortunately, existing approaches find it extremely difficult to adjust for any dependency between observation units, largely because such methods are not based upon a fully generative model of the data. For analysing spatially indexed data, we address this difficulty by generalizing the joint quantile regression model of Yang and Tokdar (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2017, 112(519), 1107–1120) and characterizing spatial dependence via a Gaussian or t‐copula process on the underlying quantile levels of the observation units. A Bayesian semiparametric approach is introduced to perform inference of model parameters and carry out spatial quantile smoothing. An effective model comparison criteria is provided, particularly for selecting between different model specifications of tail heaviness and tail dependence. Extensive simulation studies and two real applications to particulate matter concentration and wildfire risk are presented to illustrate substantial gains in inference quality, prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification over existing alternatives.
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