Government usually spend huge amount of money when embarking on census in other to know the population of the people living in a community. Also, despite the huge amount of money government invest on census; some of the areas are not captured. This study is aimed at the use of Mathematical models to project the future population of Wukari Local Government Area which will determine how government can embark on conducting census at a reduced or minimized cost. Data were collected form the Statistical Year Book of Taraba State. The data spanned from 2006 to 2016. The following models; Malthusian model; Arithmetic and Geometric model were used in the projection of the population of Wukari Local Government Area from 2016 to 2040. The results show that Malthusian model has minimum error compared to the Arithmetic and Geometric models.
Diabetes is a medical condition in which the body cannot produce enough insulin to process the glucose in the blood. Type 2 diabetes is mostly diagnosed in order adults but it is increasingly seen in children, adolescent and younger adult. It is discovered that the rate at which patients are diagnosed of diabetes has been on the increase despite the series of diabetic drugs that are available. This prompted the researchers to carry out this research so as to determine the potency of drugs used in the treatment of type 2 diabetes. Data were collected from Specialist Hospital, Jalingo Taraba State. The data were used to obtain the relative potency and pooled variance as well as analyzing the potency of the diabetes drug. The result for the relative potency which is > 1 (1.62), means that the test preparation is less potent than the standard test preparation. We also observed that their confidence interval lies between (-12.88,17.05). Analyzing the significance difference between the standard test preparation and the test preparation, using the student t test we obtain calculated t=1.93 and the t value from the table=1.96. We conclude that since tcal=1.93 <ttab=1.96, we accept H1; and conclude that there is significant difference between Dji and Djk drugs (standard test preparation and test preparation respectively). This means that more effort is needed in the area of research for more diabetic drugs that will be highly effective in the treatment of diabetes.
Measles is an infectious illness caused by the rubeola virus and it spreads either through direct contact with a person who has the virus or through droplets in the air. The study sought to determine the linear trends of reported cases of measles, to also determine the gender that suffer most on the reported cases of measles in Obudu Local Government Area of Cross River state and forecast future occurrence of the disease. Data used for the study were secondary which were gathered from General Hospital Obudu, from the year 2000 to 2020. Descriptive Statistics where calculated for each variable which shows the values of minimum, maximum, mean and standard deviation of each of the variable. The trend analysis for immunized case of measles shows a positive trend which implies increase in immunization. The trend equation for the disease is given by Yt = 367.1-2.89094*t. and trend analysis for reported cases of measles shows a negative trend which implies that cases of measles is decreasing. The trend equation of the disease is given by Yt=93.16-1.24131*t. the trend for the gender that suffer most shows that female suffer most in the reported cases of the disease. Auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) (1, 0, 1) and (2, 1, 0) was used for forecasting for the future occurrence of the disease for the years 2021 to 2025 in Obudu Local Government Area. The result shows that 2021 recorded the highest number of cases whereas 2025 could be recorded the lowest cases.
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