Bridge Management aims to provide an appropriate support to decision-making for maintenance, rehabilitation and repair strategies under constraint of limited budgets. In this regard, the Federal Brazilian Department of Transportation (DNIT) has developed the SGO - a Brazilian Bridge Management System (B-BMS) - and promoted the most comprehensive road bridge inventory under its direct administration. To improve the management of these bridge assets, the DNIT is working to develop a statistical model to predict the future condition of bridge: the most efficient and effective tool in a BMS to planning when the maintenance actions will be required. The current paper reports on findings of inventory, predominantly composed of reinforced concrete bridges, focusing on potential deterioration agents reported and checking their influence on deterioration conditions. Based on national database, the paper proposes a methodology to forecast Brazilian bridges deterioration rates. An example of application is demonstrated and satisfactory prediction accuracy obtained, even for few inspection cycles and under restricted database information.
O controle do estado de condição de cada elemento da infraestrutura de transportes é fundamental para assegurar a operação do sistema a partir de um nível de segurança definido. Para a gestão desses elementos é necessário conhecer as características do parque de obras nacional, seu histórico, estado atual e a previsão do seu estado futuro através de modelos de deterioração – módulo crucial dos sistemas de gestão. Este artigo descreve o atual cenário da gestão de pontes rodoviárias no país e avalia as metodologias de inspeção existentes a partir da aplicação de técnicas de determinação de taxas de deterioração pelo método de cadeias de Markov. Os dados usados pertencem às pontes da malha rodoviária do estado de São Paulo com técnicas de inspeção diversas. Através dos resultados é possível constatar os avanços necessários às práticas existentes no país, considerando suas possíveis implicações sob um gerenciamento eficaz dessas obras.
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