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Populations of grassland birds that overwinter in the Chihuahuan Desert are declining more rapidly than other grassland birds, and survival during the non‐breeding season may have a strong influence on population trends of these species. Habitat loss and deterioration due to desertification may be contributing to these declines, and the winter ecology of grassland birds under these changing environmental conditions remains relatively unexplored. To fill this information gap, we estimated the survival of two grassland‐obligate sparrows, Baird's Sparrows (Ammodramus bairdii) and Grasshopper Sparrows (A. savannarum), on their wintering grounds in the Chihuahuan Desert, and investigated the role of habitat structure and weather on survival rates. We deployed radio‐transmitters on Baird's (N = 49) and Grasshopper (N = 126) sparrows near Janos, Chihuahua, and tracked birds from November to March during the winters of 2012–2013 and 2013–2014. Causes of mortality included avian predators, mammals, and possibly weather. We estimated an overall weekly winter survival probability of ŝ = 92.73% (95% CI[s] = 88.63–95.44%) for Baird's Sparrows in 2012–2013. We estimated a weekly winter survival probability of ŝ = 93.48% (95% CI[s] = 90.29–96.67%) and ŝ = 98.78% (95% CI[s] = 97.88–99.68%) for Grasshopper Sparrow in 2012–2013 and 2013–2014, respectively. Weekly winter survival was lower with colder daily minimum temperatures for both species and in areas with taller shrubs for Grasshopper Sparrows, with the shrubs potentially increasing predation risk by providing perches for Loggerhead Shrikes (Lanius ludovicianus). Our results highlight the need to maintain healthy grass structure in wintering areas to provide birds with food, protection from predators, and adequate cover from inclement weather. Our results also demonstrate that the presence of shrubs can lower winter survival, and suggest that shrub encroachment into the winter habitat of these sparrows may be an important driver of their population declines. Shrub removal could increase survival of wintering sparrows in the Chihuahuan Desert by reducing availability of perches for avian predators, thus reducing predation risk.

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La Ciénega de Camilo es un humedal con Sphagnum palustre localizado en un bosque denso de pino y encino con cuatro especies de Pinus y siete de Quercus, en la Sierra Madre Occidental, en la región este de Sonora. Los análisis de polen y palinomorfos no polínicos de dos núcleos de sedimento muestran que el bosque de pino y encino ha existido en el lugar durante el último milenio. Sin embargo, hace alrededor de mil años (1058 ±60 y 870 ±70 años cal. BP (años calibrados antes del presente)), el pino era más abundante que hoy día, y además crecía una especie de pino adicional, posiblemente del grupo de Pinus strobiformis, que hoy prospera a mayores elevaciones, en un clima más fresco y húmedo. Había abundancia y diversidad de helechos. Los palinomorfos no polínicos sugieren condiciones más húmedas (presencia de Copepoda) y eu-a mesotróficas en la base, seguidas por condiciones más secas (amerosporas indiferenciadas, tipo 55A, Zygnemataceae y Pediastrum), conducentes al medio ambiente mesotrófico-ombrotrófico más reciente caracterizado por Pleospora y tipo 82E, que refleja la ciénega de Sphagnum palustre. Se infiere que hubo

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The last glacial–interglacial transition encompassed rapid climate oscillations that affected both hemispheres. At low latitudes, the pattern of oscillations is not well established. To address this issue, pollen analysis was performed at Ciénega San Marcial, a monsoon‐influenced site located on the southeastern edge of the Sonoran Desert at the limit of the tropical thornscrub. The pollen record covers the Late Wisconsinan glacial termination II, from 15 650 to 13 400 cal. a BP, including GS‐2 and the Lateglacial interstadial, and a recent historical period (AD c. 1919 to 2004). We applied the modern analogue technique, in which pollen taxa are assigned to plant functional types (PFTs), to reconstruct the past climates. At the end of GS‐2, a Juniperus–Pinus woodland is indicative of annual temperatures 10±2 °C colder than present and higher annual precipitation dominated by winter rains. The onset of the Lateglacial interstadial occurs at c. 15 500 cal. a BP, resulting in a lower sedimentation rate and the spread of a xeric grassland. This period is associated with an increase in summer insolation. A weak signal of summer monsoon intensification is dated to 14 825 cal. a BP but is associated with colder winter temperatures. A wider spread of tropical taxa occurs after 13 800 cal. a BP, along with the loss of Juniperus, suggesting a temperature increase of approximately 3 °C. In spite of the earlier Lateglacial warming, the transition from glacial to interstadial conditions seems to be related to North Atlantic atmospheric variations. We conclude that during the last glacial–interglacial transition, the Sonoran Desert at 28.5° latitude was sensitive to climate variations originating in northern latitudes. The recent historical sequence displays summer‐dominant precipitation and additional drivers of climate change, including anthropogenic factors and El Niño, thus showing a stronger Pacific circulation influence in the subrecent period.