Simultaneously considering the spatial and temporal processes is essential for land cover simulation models. A cellular automaton (CA) usually simulates the spatial conversion of land cover through post-classification comparisons between the beginning and the end of the training period. However, such an approach does not consider the temporal evolution of land cover. As a result, a CA model fails to explain the realistic land cover change. This paper proposes a temporal-dimension-extension CA (TDE-CA) by integrating the temporal evolution of land cover with a CA. In the TDE-CA, the Breaks for Additive Season and Trend (BFAST) monitor algorithm was employed in the temporal evolution simulation module (TESM) to simulate the gradual evolution of land cover, and an optimized random forest CA (optimized RF-CA) was used to simulate the spatial conversion driven by many spatial variables. Subsequently, the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) was employed to integrate the TESM with the optimized RF-CA. The TDE-CA was then tested in the land cover simulation of Shendong mining area during the period 2005–2015. The TDE-CA was compared with a Null model, with its sub-models, and with the traditional CA models, including the Logistic-CA and the MLP-CA (Multilayer Perceptron CA) models. The results show that the TDE-CA is superior to the Null model. Furthermore, the overall accuracy and the Kappa coefficient of the TDE-CA were 79.84% and 71.61%, respectively; compared with the TESM and the optimized RF-CA, the values showed 17.14% and 4.48% improvements in the overall accuracies and 0.2167 and 0.0512 improvements in the Kappa coefficients, respectively. When compared with the Logistic-CA and the MLP-CA, we measured 8.41% and 8.25% improvements in the overall accuracies and 0.0985 and 0.0964 improvements in the Kappa coefficients. These experiments indicate that the TDE-CA not only provides an effective model for the spatiotemporal dynamical simulation of land cover, but also enhances the development of the existing simulation theory.
Spatio-temporal fusion algorithms dramatically enhance the application of the Landsat time series. However, each spatio-temporal fusion algorithm has its pros and cons of heterogeneous land cover performance, the minimal number of input image pairs, and its efficiency. This study aimed to answer: (1) how to determine the adaptability of the spatio-temporal fusion algorithm for predicting images in prediction date and (2) whether the Landsat normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) time series would benefit from the interpolation with images fused from multiple spatio-temporal fusion algorithms. Thus, we supposed a linear relationship existed between the fusion accuracy and spatial and temporal variance. Taking the Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM) and the Enhanced STARFM (ESTARFM) as basic algorithms, a framework was designed to screen a spatio-temporal fusion algorithm for the Landsat NDVI time series construction. The screening rule was designed by fitting the linear relationship between the spatial and temporal variance and fusion algorithm accuracy, and then the fitted relationship was combined with the graded accuracy selecting rule (R2) to select the fusion algorithm. The results indicated that the constructed Landsat NDVI time series by this paper proposed framework exhibited the highest overall accuracy (88.18%), and lowest omission (1.82%) and commission errors (10.00%) in land cover change detection compared with the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) NDVI time series and the NDVI time series constructed by a single STARFM or ESTARFM. Phenological stability analysis demonstrated that the Landsat NDVI time series established by multiple spatio-temporal algorithms could effectively avoid phenological fluctuations in the time series constructed by a single fusion algorithm. We believe that this framework can help improve the quality of the Landsat NDVI time series and fulfill the gap between near real-time environmental monitoring mandates and data-scarcity reality.
Spatially continuous canopy height is a vital input for modeling forest structures and functioning. The global ecosystem dynamics investigation (GEDI) waveform can penetrate a canopy to precisely find the ground and measure canopy height, but it is spatially discontinuous over the earth’s surface. A common method to achieve wall-to-wall canopy height mapping is to integrate a set of field-measured canopy heights and spectral bands from optical and/or microwave remote sensing data as ancillary information. However, due partly to the saturation of spectral reflectance to canopy height, the product of this method may misrepresent canopy height. As a result, neither GEDI footprints nor interpolated maps using the common method can accurately produce spatially continuous canopy height maps alone. To address this issue, this study proposes a framework of point-surface fusion for canopy height mapping (FPSF-CH) that uses GEDI data to calibrate the initial wall-to-wall canopy height map derived from a sub-model of FPSF-CH. The effectiveness of the proposed FPSF-CH was validated by comparison to canopy heights derived from (1) a high-resolution canopy height model derived from airborne discrete point cloud lidar across three test sites, (2) a global canopy height product (GDAL RH95), and (3) the results of the FPSF-CH sub-model without fusing with the GEDI canopy height. The results showed that the RMSE and rRMSE of FPSF-CH were 3.82, 4.05, and 3.48 m, and 18.77, 16.24, and 13.81% across the three test sites, respectively. The FPSF-CH achieved improvement over GDAL RH95, with reductions in RMSE values of 1.28, 2.25, and 2.23 m, and reductions in rRMSE values of 6.29, 9.01, and 8.90% across the three test sites, respectively. Additionally, the better performance of the FPSF-CH compared with its sub-model further confirmed the effectiveness of integrating GEDI data for calibrating wall-to-wall canopy height mapping. The proposed FPSF-CH integrates GEDI LiDAR data to provide a new avenue for accurate wall-to-wall canopy height mapping critical to applications, such as estimations of biomass, biodiversity, and carbon stocks.
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