As a strong climate element on interannual scales, the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a major component of global weather and climate change, and it is also closely related to the interannual atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) and length-of-day changes (ΔLOD). Here, we reprocess and compare the interannual variations of AAM, ΔLOD with ENSO indices, with AAM mass and motion terms calculated over land separately from those over the ocean. Three oscillatory components (at ~ 6, ~ 7, ~ 8 years), due to angular momentum changes in Earth's interior, are removed to obtain the interannual ΔLOD solely related to climatic variations. Our results show that the AAM motion term over the ocean contributes the most to interannual ΔLOD, and that the oceanic AAM has larger variability than that over land, especially during the periods of strong ENSO events. After subtracting contributions associated with interior processes, the interannual ΔLOD anomalies corresponding to extreme ENSO events (1982–1983 ~ 0.43, 1997–1998 ~ 0.36, 2015–2016 ~ 0.42 ms) are about half as strong as those found in previous studies (~ 0.91, ~ 0.76, ~ 0.81 ms). Furthermore, we detect an intermediate La Nina event that occurred from August 2020 to May 2021, forcing the interannual ΔLOD to a minimum value of approximately -0.21 ms.
As one of the participants in the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (2nd EOP PCC), we submitted two data files. One is 365 days’ predictions into the future for Earth orientation parameters (EOP) (the position parameters Px and Py, the time parameters UT1-UTC and length of day changes ΔLOD), processed by the traditional least-square and autoregressive (LS + AR) model. Another is 90 days’ predictions by the combined least-square and convolution method (LS + Convolution), with effective angular momentum (EAM) from Earth System Modelling GeoForschungsZentrum in Potsdam (ESMGFZ). Results showed that the LS + Convolution method performed better than the LS + AR model in short-term EOP predictions within 10 days, while the traditional LS + AR model presented higher accuracy in medium-term predictions over 10–90 days. Furthermore, based on the climate change information in Earth’s rotation (mainly in the interannual variations of LOD), the climate change indicators are investigated with ΔLOD observations and long-term predictions. After two intermediate La Nina events were detected in the climate-related ΔLOD observations during the period of 2020–2022, another stronger La Nina phenomenon is indicated in the climate-related ΔLOD long-term predictions.
showed that the Earth equatorial region is a place of presenting vigorously localized interannual alternating fluid motions, which reflects the short-period fluctuations in geomagnetic acceleration. For example, Gillet et al. (2015) found that the strongly interannual time-dependent azimuthal fluid outer core (FOC) flows occur at the equatorial region with latitude below 10°; Finlay et al. (2016) showed that the observed pulses in geomagnetic acceleration mainly locate below the India Ocean between the equator and 30 𝐴𝐴 • S from the CHAOS-6 model, while Kloss and Finlay ( 2019) presented a new model of time-dependent core flow derived from geomagnetic measurements by Swarm and CHAMP satellites and ground observatories, which further confirmed the equatorially confined phenomena (within latitudes ∼15 𝐴𝐴• N and S) of the non-zonal azimuthal core flows and geomagnetic
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