Purpose To test the association between death and both qualitative and quantitative CT parameters obtained visually and by software in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) early outbreak. Methods The study analyzed retrospectively patients underwent chest CT at hospital admission for COVID-19 pneumonia suspicion, between February 21 and March 6, 2020. CT was performed in case of hypoxemia or moderate-to-severe dyspnea. CT scans were analyzed for quantitative and qualitative features obtained visually and by software. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis examined the association between variables and overall survival (OS). Three models were built for stratification of mortality risk: clinical, clinical/visual CT evaluation, and clinical/software-based CT assessment. AUC for each model was used to assess performance in predicting death. Results The study included 248 patients (70% males, median age 68 years). Death occurred in 78/248 (32%) patients. Visual pneumonia extent > 40% (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.2–3.85, P = 0.01), %high attenuation area – 700 HU > 35% (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.2–3.94, P = 0.01), exudative consolidations (HR 2.85–2.93, 95% CI 1.61–5.05/1.66–5.16, P < 0.001), visual CAC score > 1 (HR 2.76–3.32, 95% CI 1.4–5.45/1.71–6.46, P < 0.01/ P < 0.001), and CT classified as COVID-19 and other disease (HR 1.92–2.03, 95% CI 1.01–3.67/1.06–3.9, P = 0.04/ P = 0.03) were significantly associated with shorter OS. Models including CT parameters (AUC 0.911–0.913, 95% CI 0.873–0.95/0.875–0.952) were better predictors of death as compared to clinical model (AUC 0.869, 95% CI 0.816–0.922; P = 0.04 for both models). Conclusions In COVID-19 patients, qualitative and quantitative chest CT parameters obtained visually or by software are predictors of mortality. Predictive models including CT metrics were better predictors of death in comparison to clinical model. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10140-020-01867-1.

Background: Chest Computed Tomography (CT) imaging has played a central role in the diagnosis of interstitial pneumonia in patients affected by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and can be used to obtain the extent of lung involvement in COVID-19 pneumonia patients either qualitatively, via visual inspection, or quantitatively, via AI-based software. This study aims to compare the qualitative/quantitative pathological lung extension data on COVID-19 patients. Secondly, the quantitative data obtained were compared to verify their concordance since they were derived from three different lung segmentation software. Methods: This double-center study includes a total of 120 COVID-19 patients (60 from each center) with positive reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) who underwent a chest CT scan from November 2020 to February 2021. CT scans were analyzed retrospectively and independently in each center. Specifically, CT images were examined manually by two different and experienced radiologists for each center, providing the qualitative extent score of lung involvement, whereas the quantitative analysis was performed by one trained radiographer for each center using three different software: 3DSlicer, CT Lung Density Analysis, and CT Pulmo 3D. Results: The agreement between radiologists for visual estimation of pneumonia at CT can be defined as good (ICC 0.79, 95% CI 0.73–0.84). The statistical tests show that 3DSlicer overestimates the measures assessed; however, ICC index returns a value of 0.92 (CI 0.90–0.94), indicating excellent reliability within the three software employed. ICC was also performed between each single software and the median of the visual score provided by the radiologists. This statistical analysis underlines that the best agreement is between 3D Slicer “LungCTAnalyzer” and the median of the visual score (0.75 with a CI 0.67–82 and with a median value of 22% of disease extension for the software and 25% for the visual values). Conclusions: This study provides for the first time a direct comparison between the actual gold standard, which is represented by the qualitative information described by radiologists, and novel quantitative AI-based techniques, here represented by three different commonly used lung segmentation software, underlying the importance of these specific values that in the future could be implemented as consistent prognostic and clinical course parameters.

Novel biomarkers are advocated to manage carotid plaques. Therefore, we aimed to test the association between textural features of carotid plaque at computed tomography angiography (CTA) and unfavorable outcome after carotid artery stenting (CAS). Between January 2010 and January 2021, were selected 172 patients (median age, 77 years; 112/172, 65% men) who underwent CAS with CTA of the supra-aortic vessels performed within prior 6 months. Standard descriptors of the density histogram were derived by open-source software automated analysis obtained by CTA plaque segmentation. Multiple logistic regression analysis, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and the area under the ROC (AUC) were used to identify potential prognostic variables and to assess the model performance for predicting unfavorable outcome (periprocedural death or myocardial infarction and any ipsilateral acute neurological event). Unfavorable outcome occurred in 17/172 (10%) patients (median age, 79 years; 12/17, 70% men). Kurtosis was an independent predictor of unfavorable outcome (odds ratio, 0.79; confidence interval, 0.65–0.97; p = 0.029). The predictive model for unfavorable outcome including CTA textural features outperformed the model without textural features (AUC 0.789 vs. 0.695, p = 0.004). In patients with stenotic carotid plaque, kurtosis derived by CTA density histogram analysis is an independent predictor of unfavorable outcome after CAS.

Background: To test the agreement between postoperative pulmonary function tests 12 months after surgery (mpo-PFTs) for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and predicted lung function based on the quantification of well-aerated lung (WAL) at staging CT (sCT). Methods: We included patients with NSCLC who underwent lobectomy or segmentectomy without a history of thoracic radiotherapy or chemotherapy treatment with the availability of PFTs at 12 months follow-up. Postoperative predictive (ppo) lung function was calculated using the resected lobe WAL (the lung volume between −950 and −750 HU) at sCT. The Spearman correlation coefficient (rho) and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) were used to the test the agreement between WAL ppo-PFTs and mpo-PFTs. Results: the study included 40 patients (68 years-old, IQR 62–74 years-old; 26/40, 65% males). The WAL ppo-forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) and the ppo-diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (%DLCO) were significantly correlated with corresponding mpo-PFTs (rho = 0.842 and 0.717 respectively; p < 0.001). The agreement with the corresponding mpo-PFTs of WAL ppo-FEV1 was excellent (ICC 0.904), while it was good (ICC 0.770) for WAL ppo-%DLCO. Conclusions: WAL ppo-FEV1 and WAL ppo-%DLCO at sCT showed, respectively, excellent and good agreement with corresponding mpo-PFTs measured 12 months after surgery for NSCLC. WAL is an easy parameter obtained by staging CT that can be used to estimate post-resection lung function for patients with borderline pulmonary function undergoing lung surgery.

Background: A scoliosis prevalence of 94% was reported in the population with Rett syndrome (RTT), with an annual progression rate of 14 to 21° Cobb which may result in pain, loss of sitting balance, deterioration of motor skills, and lung disfunction. This paper describes the efficacy of an intensive conservative individualized physical and postural activity program in preventing scoliosis curvature progression in patients with RTT. Methods: Twenty subjects diagnosed with RTT and scoliosis were recruited, and an individualized intensive daily physical activity program was developed for each participant. Each program was conducted for six months by participants’ primary caregivers in their daily living environment. Fortnightly remote supervision of the program implementation was provided by an expert therapist. Pre- and post-intervention radiographs and motor functioning were analyzed. Results: An averaged progression of +1.7° ± 8.7° Cobb, over one year (12.3 ± 3.5 months) was observed in our group, together with motor function improvements. A relation between curve progression and motor skill improvement was observed. Conclusions: The intervention prevented scoliosis progression in our group. The achievement of functional motor improvements could enable better body segment control and muscle balancing, with a protective effect on scoliosis progression. The intervention was effective for individuals with RTT across various ages and severity levels. Individual characteristics of each participant and the details of their activity program are described.