We have previously reported an increasing dose-response relationship between the regular use of beta-agonist inhalers and the risk of asthma death and near death among a cohort of 12,301 subjects who had been dispensed 10 or more prescriptions of asthma drugs from January 1980 to April 1987. That analysis was based solely on information obtained from linkable computerized data bases. Such an association might be explained in part by the tendency of patients with more severe asthma, that is, those at greatest risk for an adverse outcome, to use more beta-agonist medication. To further examine this potential confounding by severity, we gathered clinical information independently from the field on the 129 case patients and their 655 control patients from the matched case-control analysis of 12,301 subjects. In 68% of the control patients with a life-threatening episode and 75% of the matched control subjects, we obtained a valid questionnaire from at least one physician who had seen the patient during the previous 2 yr. Acceptable information on hospitalizations because of asthma was obtained in 87% of those hospitalized. Clinical features associated with an increased risk of fatal and near-fatal asthma were: a history of loss of consciousness or seizures during a previous asthma attack (odds ratio, 10.2; 95% CI, 3.9 to 26.7), a history of attacks of asthma precipitated by eating certain foods (odds ratio, 5.1; 95% CI, 2.4 to 11.1), a clinical score designed to reflect the severity of prior attacks of asthma leading to hospitalization, and prior respiratory acidosis among those in whom a blood gas determination was recorded.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
We report here the results of a 9- to 11-yr follow-up of 2 cohorts in which spirometry and the single-breath N2 test were used throughout the follow-up period to determine the usefulness of the single-breath N2 test in identifying the smoker who is experiencing a rapid decline in FEV1 and is therefore likely to be at risk of developing chronic airflow limitation. The analyses are based on 734 subjects tested from 3 to 5 times over the follow-up period; 82 smokers developed an abnormal FEV1 during the follow-up period. Of these, 71 (87%) had had an abnormal single-breath N2 test at some time prior to the FEV1 becoming abnormal. Of the single-breath N2 test variables, CC/TLC was the only one significantly associated with the rate of decline of FEV1 in both cohorts once adjustments were made for age, sex, height, and smoking. We conclude that the single-breath N2 test can be useful in identifying the smoker who is at risk of developing chronic airflow limitation. However, its usefulness is diminished by the high proportion of smokers who have mild functional abnormalities but do not progress to develop chronic airflow limitation. We also find that the single-breath N2 test does not appear to have a useful predictive value in nonsmokers.
Studies reporting increased asthma hospitalizations and mortality in the United States and abroad have heightened concern about the changing epidemiology of asthma. We studied 20-yr patterns of acute asthma care occurring at two large community hospitals among members of a large health maintenance organization. The presentation focuses on the conceptualization and operationalization of an "episode" of asthma care, defined as a collection of encounters (emergency room visits, urgency care visits, and hospital admissions) that cluster in time, as well as on changes in episode rates over time. We found a statistically significant increase in asthma episodes among boys younger than 5 yr of age that continued unabated from 1967 to 1987 despite a drop in asthma hospitalization rates starting in 1985. We hypothesize that this difference may reflect a change in emergency room management practices and not a true change in the underlying epidemiology of asthma. The concept of an episode of acute asthma care has not been studied in the literature and represents a potentially useful methodologic innovation. Particularly in the context of managed health care systems, studies of such episodes may be less sensitive than studies of hospital admissions to changes in the organization and delivery of acute asthma care, and thus may be better suited for studying changes in the epidemiology of asthma.
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