Aquaculture is a fundamental sector of the food industry nowadays. However, to become a sustainable and more profitable industry, it is necessary to monitor several associated parameters, such as temperature, salinity, ammonia, potential of hydrogen, nitrogen dioxide, bromine, among others. Their regular and simultaneous monitoring is expected to predict and avoid catastrophes, such as abnormal fish mortality rates. In this paper, we propose a novel anomaly detection approach for the early prediction of high fish mortality based on a multivariate Gaussian probability model. The goal of this approach is to determine the correlation between the number of daily registered physicochemical parameters of the fish tank water and the fish mortality. The proposed machine learning model was fitted with data from the weaning and pre-fattening phases of Senegalese sole (Solea senegalensis) collected over 2018, 2019, and 2020. This approach is suitable for real-time tracking and successful prediction of up to 80% of the high fish mortality rates. To the best of our knowledge, the proposed anomaly detection approach is the first time studied and applied in the framework of the aquaculture industry.
The development of better monitoring technologies, the early combat of outbreaks, massive mortality, and promoting sustainability are challenges that the aquaculture industry still faces, and the development of solutions for this is an open problem. In this paper, focusing our attention on monitoring technologies as a promising solution to these issues, we report a Gaussian distribution model for detecting dangerous operating conditions in industrial fish farming. This approach allows us to indicate through a 2D image visualization when fish production is under normal, warning, or dangerous operating conditions. Furthermore, our proposed method has promising possibilities for application in the most varied fields of science, given that the mathematical procedure described allows us to discover the fundamental statistical structure of physical, chemical, and biological systems governed by laws of a probabilistic nature.
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