The morphological and biochemical properties of plant canopies are strong predictors of photosynthetic capacity and nutrient cycling. Remote sensing research at the leaf and canopy scales has demonstrated the ability to characterize the biochemical status of vegetation canopies using reflectance spectroscopy, including at the leaf level and canopy level from air- and spaceborne imaging spectrometers. We developed a set of accurate and precise spectroscopic calibrations for the determination of leaf chemistry (contents of nitrogen, carbon, and fiber constituents), morphology (leaf mass per area, Marea), and isotopic composition (δ15N) of temperate and boreal tree species using spectra of dried and ground leaf material. The data set consisted of leaves from both broadleaf and needle-leaf conifer species and displayed a wide range in values, determined with standard analytical approaches: 0.7–4.4% for nitrogen (Nmass), 42–54% for carbon (Cmass), 17–58% for fiber (acid-digestible fiber, ADF), 7–44% for lignin (acid-digestible lignin, ADL), 3–31% for cellulose, 17–265 g/m2 for Marea, and −9.4‰ to 0.8‰ for δ15N. The calibrations were developed using a partial least-squares regression (PLSR) modeling approach combined with a novel uncertainty analysis. Our PLSR models yielded model calibration (independent validation shown in parentheses) R2 and the root mean square error (RMSE) values, respectively, of 0.98 (0.97) and 0.10% (0.13%) for Nmass, R2 = 0.77 (0.73) and RMSE = 0.88% (0.95%) for Cmass, R2 = 0.89 (0.84) and RMSE = 2.8% (3.4%) for ADF, R2 = 0.77 (0.69) and RMSE = 2.4% (3.9%) for ADL, R2 = 0.77 (0.72) and RMSE = 1.4% (1.9%) for leaf cellulose, R2 = 0.62 (0.60) and RMSE = 0.91‰ (1.5‰) for δ15N, and R2 = 0.88 (0.87) with RMSE = 17.2 g/m2 (22.8 g/m2) for Marea. This study demonstrates the potential for rapid and accurate estimation of key foliar traits of forest canopies that are important for ecological research and modeling activities, with a single calibration equation valid over a wide range of northern temperate and boreal species and leaf physiognomies. The results provide the basis to characterize important variability between and within species, and across ecological gradients using a rapid, cost-effective, easily replicated method.

A major goal of remote sensing is the development of generalizable algorithms to repeatedly and accurately map ecosystem properties across space and time. Imaging spectroscopy has great potential to map vegetation traits that cannot be retrieved from broadband spectral data, but rarely have such methods been tested across broad regions. Here we illustrate a general approach for estimating key foliar chemical and morphological traits through space and time using NASA's Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS-Classic). We apply partial least squares regression (PLSR) to data from 237 field plots within 51 images acquired between 2008 and 2011. Using a series of 500 randomized 50/50 subsets of the original data, we generated spatially explicit maps of seven traits (leaf mass per area (M(area)), percentage nitrogen, carbon, fiber, lignin, and cellulose, and isotopic nitrogen concentration, δ15N) as well as pixel-wise uncertainties in their estimates based on error propagation in the analytical methods. Both M(area) and %N PLSR models had a R2 > 0.85. Root mean square errors (RMSEs) for both variables were less than 9% of the range of data. Fiber and lignin were predicted with R2 > 0.65 and carbon and cellulose with R2 > 0.45. Although R2 of %C and cellulose were lower than M(area) and %N, the measured variability of these constituents (especially %C) was also lower, and their RMSE values were beneath 12% of the range in overall variability. Model performance for δ15N was the lowest (R2 = 0.48, RMSE = 0.95 per thousand), but within 15% of the observed range. The resulting maps of chemical and morphological traits, together with their overall uncertainties, represent a first-of-its-kind approach for examining the spatiotemporal patterns of forest functioning and nutrient cycling across a broad range of temperate and sub-boreal ecosystems. These results offer an alternative to categorical maps of functional or physiognomic types by providing non-discrete maps (i.e., on a continuum) of traits that define those functional types. A key contribution of this work is the ability to assign retrieval uncertainties by pixel, a requirement to enable assimilation of these data products into ecosystem modeling frameworks to constrain carbon and nutrient cycling projections.

Human societies depend on an Earth System that operates within a constrained range of nutrient 68 availability, yet the recent trajectory of terrestrial nitrogen (N) availability is uncertain. 69 Examining patterns of foliar N concentrations ([N]) and isotope ratios (δ 15 N) from more than 42,000 samples acquired over years, here we show that foliar [N] declined by 8% and foliar δ 15 N declined by 0.8 -1.9 ‰. Examining patterns across different climate spaces, foliar δ 15 N declined across the entire range of MAT and MAP tested. These results suggest declines in N supply relative to plant demand at the global scale. In all, there are now multiple lines of evidence of declining N availability in many unfertilized terrestrial ecosystems, including declines in δ 15 N of tree rings and leaves from herbarium samples over the past 75-150 years. 76These patterns are consistent with the proposed consequences of elevated atmospheric CO 2 and longer growing seasons. These declines will limit future terrestrial C uptake and increase nutritional stress for herbivores. 235 much. Preventing these declines in N availability further emphasizes the need to reduce 236 anthropogenic CO 2 emissions.Data and code availability. The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available in the Dryad repository [link to be generated upon acceptance]. All code used for statistical analyses and figure generation are available on Dryad (XXX).

No abstract