Controlling the spread of COVID-19 -- even after a licensed vaccine is available -- requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions, e.g., physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc.. To date, such interventions have neither been uniformly nor systematically implemented in most countries. For example, even when under strict stay-at-home orders, numerous jurisdictions granted exceptions and/or were in close proximity to locations with entirely different regulations in place. Here, we investigate the impact of such geographic inconsistencies in epidemic control policies by coupling search and mobility data to a simple mathematical model of SARS-COV2 transmission. Our results show that while stay-at-home orders decrease contacts in most areas of the United States of America (US), some specific activities and venues often see an increase in attendance. Indeed, over the month of March 2020, between 10 and 30% of churches in the US saw increases in attendance; even as the total number of visits to churches declined nationally. This heterogeneity, where certain venues see substantial increases in attendance while others close, suggests that closure can cause individuals to find an open venue, even if that requires longer-distance travel. And, indeed, the average distance travelled to churches in the US rose by 13% over the same period. Strikingly, our mathematical model reveals that, across a broad range of model parameters, partial measures can often be worse than no measures at all. In the most severe cases, individuals not complying with policies by traveling to neighboring jurisdictions can create epidemics when the outbreak would otherwise have been controlled. Taken together, our data analysis and modelling results highlight the potential unintended consequences of inconsistent epidemic control policies and stress the importance of balancing the societal needs of a population with the risk of an outbreak growing into a large epidemic.

Background It has been hypothesized that polypharmacy may increase the frequency of multidrug interactions (MDIs) where one drug interacts with two or more other drugs, amplifying the risk of associated adverse drug events (ADEs). The main objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of MDIs in medication lists of elderly ambulatory patients and to identify the medications most commonly involved in MDIs that amplify the risk of ADEs. Methods Medication lists stored in the electronic health record (EHR) of 6,545 outpatients ≥60 years old were extracted from the enterprise data warehouse. Network analysis identified patients with three or more interacting medications from their medication lists. Potentially harmful interactions were identified from the enterprise drug-drug interaction alerting system. MDIs were considered to amplify the risk if interactions could increase the probability of ADEs. Results MDIs were identified in 1.3 % of the medication lists, the majority of which involved three interacting drugs (75.6 %) while the remainder involved four (15.6 %) or five or more (8.9 %) interacting drugs. The average number of medications on the lists was 3.1 ± 2.3 in patients with no drug interactions and 8.6 ± 3.4 in patients with MDIs. The prevalence of MDIs on medication lists was greater than 10 % in patients prescribed bupropion, tramadol, trazodone, cyclobenzaprine, fluoxetine, ondansetron, or quetiapine and greater than 20 % in patients prescribed amiodarone or methotrexate. All MDIs were potentially risk-amplifying due to pharmacodynamic interactions, where three or more medications were associated with the same ADE, or pharmacokinetic, where two or more drugs reduced the metabolism of a third drug. The most common drugs involved in MDIs were psychotropic, comprising 35.1 % of all drugs involved. The most common serious potential ADEs associated with the interactions were serotonin syndrome, seizures, prolonged QT interval and bleeding. Conclusions An identifiable number of medications, the majority of which are psychotropic, may be involved in MDIs in elderly ambulatory patients which may amplify the risk of serious ADEs. To mitigate the risk, providers will need to pay special attention to the overlapping drug-drug interactions which result in MDIs.

Intracranial pressure (ICP) is an important and established clinical measurement that is used in the management of severe acute brain injury. ICP waveforms are usually triphasic and are susceptible to artifact because of transient catheter malfunction or routine patient care. Existing methods for artifact detection include threshold-based, stability-based, or template matching, and result in higher false positives (when there is variability in the ICP waveforms) or higher false negatives (when the ICP waveforms lack complete triphasic components but are valid). We hypothesized that artifact labeling of ICP waveforms can be optimized by an active learning approach which includes interactive querying of domain experts to identify a manageable number of informative training examples. The resulting active learning based framework identified non-artifactual ICP pulses with a superior AUC of 0.96 ± 0.012, compared to existing methods: template matching (AUC: 0.71 ± 0.04), ICP stability (AUC: 0.51 ± 0.036) and threshold-based (AUC: 0.5 ± 0.02).

The association between impaired brain perfusion, cerebrovascular reactivity status and the risk of ictal events in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage is unknown. We identified 13 subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients with seizures and 22 with ictal-interictal continuum (IIC), and compared multimodality physiological recordings to 38 similarly poor-grade SAH patients without ictal activity. We analyzed 10,179 cumulative minutes of seizure and 12,762 cumulative minutes of IIC. Cerebrovascular reactivity (PRx) was not different between subjects with seizures, IIC, or controls. Cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) was higher in patients with seizures [99 ± 6.5, p = .005] and IIC [97 ± 8.5, p = .007] when compared to controls [89 ± 12.3]. DeltaCPP, defined as actual CPP minus optimal CPP (CPPopt), was also higher in the seizure group [8.3 ± 7.9, p = .0003] and IIC [8.1 ± 10.3, p = .0006] when compared to controls [−0.1 ± 5]. Time spent with supra-optimal CPP was higher in the seizure group [342 ± 213 min/day, p = .002] when compared to controls [154 ± 120 min/day]. In a temporal examination, a supra-optimal CPP preceded increased seizures and IIC in SAH patients, an hour before and continued to increase during the events [ p < .0001].