The increase in demand for renal replacement therapy makes it important to investigate the prognosis of the earlier stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD). We examined the change in glomerular filtration rate (GFR), and patient and renal survival in CKD stage 3 in the municipality of Tromsø, a well-defined European community with a population of 58,000. All patients with estimated GFR between 30 and 59 ml/min/1.73 m(2) for more than 3 months during a 10-year study period were identified from a complete database of all 248 560 measurements of serum creatinine made in the community in the study period. Change in GFR was estimated for each patient using a multilevel model. A complete follow-up with respect to patient and renal survival was obtained from hospital databases. A total of 3047 patients was included. The median number of measurements of creatinine for each patient was 9, and the median observation time was 44 months. Mean estimated change in GFR was--1.03 ml/min/1.73 m(2)/year. Seventy-three percent of the patients experienced a decline in GFR. The 10-year cumulative incidence of renal failure was 0.04 (95% CI 0.03-0.06) and mortality 0.51 (95% CI 0.48-0.55). Female gender was associated with slower decline in GFR and better patient and renal survival. In this population-based study, the decline in GFR in CKD was slower than in previously studied selected patient groups. A high mortality pre-empted the development of renal failure in many patients. The prognosis of CKD depended strongly on gender.

The FAS equation has improved validity and continuity across the full age-spectrum and overcomes the problem of implausible eGFR changes in patients which would otherwise occur when switching between more age-specific equations.

Current criteria for the diagnosis of CKD in adults include persistent signs of kidney damage, such as increased urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio or a GFR below the threshold of 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. This threshold has important caveats because it does not separate kidney disease from kidney aging, and therefore does not hold for all ages. In an extensive review of the literature, we found that GFR declines with healthy aging without any overt signs of compensation (such as elevated single-nephron GFR) or kidney damage. Older living kidney donors, who are carefully selected based on good health, have a lower predonation GFR compared with younger donors. Furthermore, the results from the large meta-analyses conducted by the CKD Prognosis Consortium and from numerous other studies indicate that the GFR threshold above which the risk of mortality is increased is not consistent across all ages. Among younger persons, mortality is increased at GFR <75 ml/min per 1.73 m2, whereas in elderly people it is increased at levels <45 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Therefore, we suggest that amending the CKD definition to include age-specific thresholds for GFR. The implications of an updated definition are far reaching. Having fewer healthy elderly individuals diagnosed with CKD could help reduce inappropriate care and its associated adverse effects. Global prevalence estimates for CKD would be substantially reduced. Also, using an age-specific threshold for younger persons might lead to earlier identification of CKD onset for such individuals, at a point when progressive kidney damage may still be preventable.

While there is general agreement on the necessity to measure glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in many clinical situations, there is less agreement on the best method to achieve this purpose. As the gold standard method for GFR determination, urinary (or renal) clearance of inulin, fades into the background due to inconvenience and high cost, a diversity of filtration markers and protocols compete to replace it. In this review, we suggest that iohexol, a non-ionic contrast agent, is most suited to replace inulin as the marker of choice for GFR determination. Iohexol comes very close to fulfilling all requirements for an ideal GFR marker in terms of low extra-renal excretion, low protein binding and in being neither secreted nor reabsorbed by the kidney. In addition, iohexol is virtually non-toxic and carries a low cost. As iohexol is stable in plasma, administration and sample analysis can be separated in both space and time, allowing access to GFR determination across different settings. An external proficiency programme operated by Equalis AB, Sweden, exists for iohexol, facilitating interlaboratory comparison of results. Plasma clearance measurement is the protocol of choice as it combines a reliable GFR determination with convenience for the patient. Single-sample protocols dominate, but multiple-sample protocols may be more accurate in specific situations. In low GFRs one or more late samples should be included to improve accuracy. In patients with large oedema or ascites, urinary clearance protocols should be employed. In conclusion, plasma clearance of iohexol may well be the best candidate for a common GFR determination method.