As a cell proliferation biomarker, Ki-67 is principally used in ER+/HER2− breast cancer. However, the importance and the best cutoff point of Ki-67 in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) remains unclear and was evaluated in this study.A total of 1800 patients with early invasive TNBC between 2011 and 2016 at Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center were consecutively recruited for this study. The optimal cutoff for Ki-67 was assessed by Cutoff Finder. Propensity score matching (PSM, ratio = 1:2) was performed to match the Ki-67 low group with the Ki-67 high group. Overall survival (OS) and diseasefree survival (DFS) were compared between the two groups using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model. The most relevant cutoff value for Ki-67 for prognosis was 30% (p = 0.008). At the cutoff point of 30%, worse DFS and OS were observed in the Ki-67 high group. In multivariate analyses, N-stage (p < 0.001), T-stage (p = 0.038), and Ki-67 at the 30% threshold (p = 0.020) were independently linked to OS. In subgroup analysis, Ki-67 cutoff at 30% had prognostic and predictive potential for DFS with either tumor size ≤2 cm (p = 0.008) or lymph node-negative (N−) (p = 0.038) and especially with t 1 n 0 M 0 (stage I) TNBCs. For 945 N− TNBC patients, adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) was associated with better OS in the Ki-67 high group (p = 0.017) than in the Ki-67 low group (p = 0.875). For stage I/Ki-67 low patients, adjuvant CT did not affect DFS (p = 0.248). Thus, Ki-67 cutoff at 30% had early independent prognostic and predictive potential for OS and DFS in TNBCs, and Ki-67 > 30% was significantly associated with worse prognosis, especially for stage I patients. For stage I/Ki-67 low TNBC patients, the advantage of CT is unclear, providing the basis for future de-escalation therapy.

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Background PARP inhibitors (PARPi) benefit only a fraction of breast cancer patients with BRCA mutations, and their efficacy is even more limited in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) due to clinical primary and acquired resistance. Here, we found that the efficacy of the PARPi olaparib in TNBC can be improved by combination with the CDK4/6 inhibitor (CDK4/6i) palbociclib. Methods We screened primary olaparib-sensitive and olaparib-resistant cell lines from existing BRCAmut/TNBC cell lines and generated cells with acquired olaparib resistance by gradually increasing the concentration. The effects of the PARPi olaparib and the CDK4/6i palbociclib on BRCAmut/TNBC cell lines were examined in both sensitive and resistant cells in vitro and in vivo. Pathway and gene alterations were assessed mechanistically and pharmacologically. Results We demonstrated for the first time that the combination of olaparib and palbociclib has synergistic effects against BRCAmut/TNBC both in vitro and in vivo. In olaparib-sensitive MDA-MB-436 cells, the single agent olaparib significantly inhibited cell viability and affected cell growth due to severe DNA damage. In olaparib-resistant HCC1937 and SUM149 cells, single-agent olaparib was ineffective due to potential homologous recombination (HR) repair, and the combination of olaparib and palbociclib greatly inhibited HR during the G2 phase, increased DNA damage and inhibited tumour growth. Inadequate DNA damage caused by olaparib activated the Wnt signalling pathway and upregulated MYC. Further experiments indicated that the overexpression of β-catenin, especially its hyperphosphorylation at the Ser675 site, activated the Wnt signalling pathway and mediated olaparib resistance, which could be strongly inhibited by combined treatment with palbociclib. Conclusions Our data provide a rationale for clinical evaluation of the therapeutic synergy of the PARPi olaparib and CDK4/6i palbociclib in BRCAmut/TNBCs with high Wnt signalling activation and high MYC expression that do not respond to PARPi monotherapy.