Oil-immersed transformer is one of the most important components in the power system. The dissolved gas concentration prediction in oil is vital for early incipient fault detection of transformer. In this paper, a model for predicting the dissolved gas concentration in power transformer based on the modified grey wolf optimizer and least squares support vector machine (MGWO-LSSVM) with grey relational analysis (GRA) and empirical mode decomposition (EMD) is proposed, in which the influence of transformer load, oil temperature and ambient temperature on gas concentration is taken into consideration. Firstly, GRA is used to analyze the correlation between dissolved gas concentration and transformer load, oil temperature and ambient temperature, and the optimal feature set affecting gas concentration is extracted and selected as the input of the prediction model. Then, EMD is used to decompose the non-stationary series data of dissolved gas concentration into stationary subsequences with different scales. Finally, the MGWO-LSSVM is used to predict each subsequence, and the prediction values of all subsequences are combined to get the final result. DGA samples from two transformers are used to verify the proposed method, which shows high prediction accuracy, stronger generalization ability and robustness by comparing with LSSVM, particle swarm optimization (PSO)-LSSVM, GWO-LSSVM, MGWO-LSSVM, EMD-PSO-LSSVM, EMD-GWO-LSSVM, EMD-MGWO-LSSVM, GRA-EMD-PSO-LSSVM and GRA-EMD-GWO-LSSVM.
Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) is a widely used method for transformer internal fault diagnosis. However, the traditional DGA technology, including Key Gas method, Dornenburg ratio method, Rogers ratio method, International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) three-ratio method, and Duval triangle method, etc., suffers from shortcomings such as coding deficiencies, excessive coding boundaries and critical value criterion defects, which affect the reliability of fault analysis. Grey wolf optimizer (GWO) is a novel swarm intelligence optimization algorithm proposed in 2014 and it is easy for the original GWO to fall into the local optimum. This paper presents a new meta-heuristic method by hybridizing GWO with differential evolution (DE) to avoid the local optimum, improve the diversity of the population and meanwhile make an appropriate compromise between exploration and exploitation. A fault diagnosis model of hybrid grey wolf optimized least square support vector machine (HGWO-LSSVM) is proposed and applied to transformer fault diagnosis with the optimal hybrid DGA feature set selected as the input of the model. The kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is used for feature extraction, which can decrease the training time of the model. The proposed method shows high accuracy of fault diagnosis by comparing with traditional DGA methods, least square support vector machine (LSSVM), GWO-LSSVM, particle swarm optimization (PSO)-LSSVM and genetic algorithm (GA)-LSSVM. It also shows good fitness and fast convergence rate. Accuracies calculated in this paper, however, are significantly affected by the misidentifications of faults that have been made in the DGA data collected from the literature.
The condition monitoring and fault diagnosis of power transformers plays a significant role in the safe, stable and reliable operation of the whole power system. Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) methods are widely used for fault diagnosis, however, their accuracy is limited by the selection of DGA features and the performance of fault diagnosis models, for example, the classical support vector machine (SVM), is easily affected by unbalanced training samples. This paper presents a transformer fault diagnosis model based on chemical reaction optimization and a twin support vector machine. Twin support vector machines (TWSVMs) are used as classifiers for solving problems involving unbalanced and insufficient samples. Restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs) are used for data preprocessing to ensure the effective identification of feature parameters and improve the efficiency and accuracy of fault diagnosis. The chemical reaction optimization (CRO) algorithm is used to optimize TWSVM parameters to select the optimal training parameters. The cross-validation (CV) method is used to ensure the reliability and generalization ability of the diagnostic model. Finally, the validity of the model is verified using real fault samples and random testing.
This paper proposes an evaluation index of wind turbine generator operating health based on the relationships with SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) data. First, the relationship among the data from a wind turbine SCADA system is thoroughly analyzed. Then, a time based sliding window model is used to process the SCADA data by the bin method, and a running state model of the wind turbine is established by data fitting. Taking the normal operation state model of the wind turbine as the standard reference and based on the Euclidean distance between the state model curve and the standard model curve, the health index of the wind turbine operation state is proposed. Finally, using SCADA data from two 2 MW direct-drive wind turbines as examples for analysis and discussion, the results show that: (1) health indicators have good stability and sensitivity to wind turbine operating conditions; (2) the width of the data window in the sliding window model must cover all operating conditions of the wind turbine to ensure that the health index depicts the operating state of the wind turbine; (3) the data window width, window increment, and data fitting modeling all affect the health indicators, and thus, the selection of the sliding window model parameters and the data relationship modeling methods should consider the accuracy and real-time performance of the health indicators; and (4) the data acquisition cycle does not affect the health indicators. Once the basic characteristics of the data relations are known, direct data fitting modeling is more efficient than bin preprocessing modeling.
In order to conduct a further in-depth exploration of the role of temperature-related parameters in the condition monitoring of wind turbines, this paper proposes a method to assess the condition of wind turbines by analyzing the supervisory control and data acquisition system temperature-related parameters based on existing research. A prediction model of time-sequence regression is established, based on the key temperature signals of WTs, so as to reflect their health condition in the form of prediction residuals. A kind of health index from the perspective of temperature-related parameters is developed by separating the statistics concerning the conformity of the predicted values of key temperature parameters within a certain time window from the measured values in order to clearly present the implied information on the health condition of wind turbines contained in the model prediction residuals. The case study shows that the trend of health index from the perspective of temperature-related parameters is consistent with the health condition of wind turbines. In some instances, its decline obviously occurs earlier than the maintenance provided to address the stoppage, suggesting that such indexes can effectively reflect some early health problems of the wind turbines to provide a reference for their scientific maintenance.
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