Drought influences agriculture, hydrology, ecology and socioeconomic systems globally. As agriculture is the primary source for livelihoods and contributes to $27% of Nepalʼs total gross domestic product, it is essential to understand the impact of drought on maize and wheat crop yields to minimize the droughtrelated risks. This study presents insights about agricultural drought across Nepal during 1987-2017 using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). The temporal evolution of SPEI time series has revealed frequent occurrences of drought episodes during the cropping cycle of summer maize and winter wheat crops. Moreover, the turning point of the drought was detected in 2000 (1987-2000, 2001-2017) in different regions. The averaged frequency for the SPEIs (1, 3, 6 and 12) of drought years for summer maize (winter wheat) in the western, central and eastern regions increased by 13% (12.5%), 6% (7.5%) and 7% (8%), respectively, from 1987-2000 to 2001-2017. The relationship between Standardized Yield Residual Series, the detrended SPEI at 1-12 lags and soil moisture was observed for both crops. The most correlated crop growth period for summer maize and winter wheat was the sowing and growing period, respectively, indicating the sensitive period of water deficit. Besides, the correlation performed in the two sub-periods (1987-2000 and 2001-2017) shows that drought impacts increased in the western and central regions, whereas they substantially decreased in the eastern region during the cropping period of summer maize. However, the drought sensitivity for winter wheat was decreased in the western region but significantly increased in the central and eastern regions of Nepal. The results of this study provide important information useful for policymakers in monitoring and mitigating the drought-related risks on maize and wheat crops in Nepal.

No abstract

Precipitation in a mountainous region is highly variable due to the complex terrain. Satellite-based precipitation estimates are potential alternatives to gauge measurements in these regions, as these typical measurements are not available or are scarce in high elevation areas. However, the accuracy of these gridded precipitation datasets need to be addressed before further usage. In this study, an evaluation of the spatial precipitation pattern in satellite-based precipitation products is provided, including satellite-only (Integrated Multi satellite Retrievals for GPM IMERG-UCORR and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP-MVK) and gauge calibrated (IMERG-CORR and GSMaP-Gauge) products, with a spatial resolution of 0.1°, which is compared to 387-gauge measurements in Nepal from April 2014 to December 2016. The major results are as follows: (1) The gauge calibrated version 5 IMERG-CORR and version 6 GSMaP-Gauge are relatively better than the satellite-only datasets, although they all underestimate the observed precipitation. (2) The daily gauge calibrated GSMaP-Gauge performs fairly well in low and mid-elevation areas, whereas the monthly gauge calibrated IMERG-C performs better in high-elevation areas. (3) For the daily time scale, IMERG-CORR shows a better ability to detect the true precipitation (higher Probability of Detection (POD)) and (lowest False Alarm Ratio (FAR)) events among all datasets. However, all four satellite-based precipitation datasets accurately detect (Critical Success Index (CSI) >40%) precipitation and no-precipitation events. The results of this work provide the systematic quantification of IMERG and GSMaP of satellite precipitation products over Nepal using station observations and delivers a helpful statistical basis for the selection of these datasets for future scientific research.