In this introductory paper, we discuss how quantitative finance problems under some common risk factor dynamics for some common instruments and approaches can be formulated as time-continuous or time-discrete forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) final-value or control problems, how these final value problems can be turned into control problems, how time-continuous problems can be turned into time-discrete problems, and how the forward and backward stochastic differential equations (SDE) can be time-stepped. We obtain both forward and backward time-stepped time-discrete stochastic control problems (where forward and backward indicate in which direction the Y SDE is time-stepped) that we will solve with optimization approaches using deep neural networks for the controls and stochastic gradient and other deep learning methods for the actual optimization/learning. We close with examples for the forward and backward methods for an European option pricing problem. Several methods and approaches are new. * Corporate Model Risk, Wells Fargo Bank, bernhard.hientzsch@wellsfargo.com 1 arXiv:1911.12231v1 [q-fin.CP]
This paper presents a novel and direct approach to price boundary and final-value problems, corresponding to barrier options, using forward deep learning to solve forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). Barrier instruments are instruments that expire or transform into another instrument if a barrier condition is satisfied before maturity; otherwise they perform like the instrument without the barrier condition. In the PDE formulation, this corresponds to adding boundary conditions to the final value problem. The deep BSDE methods developed so far have not addressed barrier/boundary conditions directly. We extend the forward deep BSDE to the barrier condition case by adding nodes to the computational graph to explicitly monitor the barrier conditions for each realization of the dynamics as well as nodes that preserve the time, state variables, and trading strategy value at barrier breach or at maturity otherwise. Given these additional nodes in the computational graph, the forward loss function quantifies the replication of the barrier or final payoff according to a chosen risk measure such as squared sum of differences. The proposed method can handle any barrier condition in the FBSDE set-up and any Dirichlet boundary conditions in the PDE set-up, both in low and high dimensions.
In this paper, we present a backward deep BSDE method applied to Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (FBSDE) with given terminal condition at maturity that time-steps the BSDE backwards. We present an application of this method to a nonlinear pricing problem -the differential rates problem. To time-step the BSDE backward, one needs to solve a nonlinear problem. For the differential rates problem, we derive an exact solution of this time-step problem and a Taylor-based approximation. Previously backward deep BSDE methods only treated zero or linear generators. While a Taylor approach for nonlinear generators was previously mentioned, it had not been implemented or applied, while we apply our method to nonlinear generators and derive details and present results. Likewise, previously backward deep BSDE methods were presented for fixed initial risk factor values X0 only, while we present a version with random X0 and a version that learns portfolio values at intermediate times as well. The method is able to solve nonlinear FBSDE problems in high dimensions.
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