We used a case study of a coastal bottlenose dolphin population to present a framework for determining the number of individuals present and assessing the likely time scale over which trends in abundance may be determined. Such a framework is appropriate for animal species that possess natural markings sufficient for individual recognition, and may be valuable in the development and implementation of management and monitoring programs for vulnerable populations.Population abundance was estimated using mark-recapture methods applied to photoidentification data. This experiment was designed to minimize violation of method assumptions so as to allow use of the most parsimonious model for analysis. The data were examined critically to investigate mark-recapture assumptions, while analytical methods and data were selected to minimize and, where necessary, account for violations. The estimated number of animals with long-lasting marks from left and right side estimates were 73 Ϯ 12 and 80 Ϯ 11 individuals, respectively (means Ϯ 1 SE). When divided by the estimated proportion of such animals in the population (0.57 Ϯ 0.043 and 0.61 Ϯ 0.035, respectively) and averaged, weighted by inverse variance, a total population size of 129 Ϯ 15 individual animals was estimated (95% CI ϭ 110-174 animals).Data on calves observed and carcasses recovered suggest that the population could be increasing or decreasing at an annual rate of up to 5%. A power analysis, undertaken to investigate the length of monitoring program required to detect changes in population abundance at a 90% level of certainty, showed that detection of a trend could only occur following Ͼ8 yr of research effort. Biennial sampling has power similar to that of annual sampling, but savings in resources are offset by the loss of data on the reproductive histories of individuals.
Summary 1.The social structure of a population plays a key role in many aspects of its ecology and biology. It influences its genetic make-up, the way diseases spread through it and the way animals exploit their environment. However, the description of social structure in nonprimate animals is receiving little attention because of the difficulty in abstracting social structure from the description of association patterns between individuals. 2. Here we focus on recently developed analytical techniques that facilitate inference about social structure from association patterns. We apply them to the population of bottlenose dolphins residing along the Scottish east coast, to detect the presence of communities within this population and infer its social structure from the temporal variation in association patterns between individuals. 3. Using network analytical techniques, we show that the population is composed of two social units with restricted interactions. These two units seem to be related to known differences in the ranging pattern of individuals. By examining social structuring at different spatial scales, we confirm that the identification of these two units is the result of genuine social affiliation and is not an artefact of their spatial distribution. 4. We also show that the structure of this fission-fusion society relies principally on short-term casual acquaintances lasting a few days with a smaller proportion of associations lasting several years. These findings highlight how network analyses can be used to detect and understand the forces driving social organization of bottlenose dolphins and other social species.
Traditionally, marine resources have been managed such that controls on new developments are implemented only when harmful effects on other environmental or economic interests can be demonstrated. This approach poses particular problems for the conservation of coastal cetaceans because potential threats to their populations are diverse and likely to interact, individual threats may result from multiple sources, and the problems inherent in studying cetaceans result in considerable scientific uncertainty and low statistical power to detect any effects. Consequently, many countries are adopting integrated coastal management programs and precautionary management principles. In practice, however, issues continue to be dealt with within traditional frameworks that require demonstration of harm. Because cetaceans are long‐lived, they demand long‐term studies, and populations could decline to dangerously low levels before management action is taken. We illustrate these problems using a case study from the Moray Firth, Scotland. This inshore area will soon be designated and managed as a “special area of conservation” to protect bottlenose dolphins ( Tursiops truncatus) under the European Community's Habitats Directive. The population is small and isolated, and it faces a wide range of potential threats, but there remains considerable uncertainty over the magnitude of each threat. We combined power analysis and population viability analysis to explore the relative consequences of adopting either traditional or precautionary approaches to management. In this case, our results reaffirm the need for precautionary management. More generally, we illustrate how this approach can be used to provide a more scientific basis for determining the level of precaution required to address particular management issues in this and other marine systems.
Most harbour porpoises found dead on the north-east coast of Scotland show signs of attack by sympatric bottlenose dolphins, but the reason(s) for these violent interactions remain(s) unclear. Post-mortem examinations of stranded bottlenose dolphins indicate that ¢ve out of eight young calves from this same area were also killed by bottlenose dolphins. These data, together with direct observations of an aggressive interaction between an adult bottlenose dolphin and a dead bottlenose dolphin calf, provide strong evidence for infanticide in this population. The similarity in the size range of harbour porpoises and dolphin calves that showed signs of attack by bottlenose dolphins suggests that previously reported interspeci¢c interactions could be related to this infanticidal behaviour. These ¢ndings appear to provide the ¢rst evidence of infanticide in cetaceans (whales, dolphins and porpoises). We suggest that infanticide must be considered as a factor shaping sociality in this and other species of cetaceans, and may have serious consequences for the viability of small populations.
Management of marine species has increasingly focused on key site protection. Initiatives to protect bottlenose dolphins, Tursiops truncatus, under the EU Habitats Directive reflect this trend. The boundaries of the Moray Firth candidate Special Area of Conservation (cSAC) were intended to include the main Scottish population's core range, following research conducted in the 1980s and early 1990s. However, during implementation, anecdotal sightings increased outside the cSAC. Here, the authors examine existing datasets to identify whether these reports reflect simply elevated awareness among public observers or real changes in distribution. Dolphins photo-identified in areas originally considered to be outside the population's range confirmed they originated from the protected population. These individuals became rarer within the cSAC during the 1990s. Scottish bottlenose dolphins kill harbour porpoises, Phocoena phocoena, and carcasses from these interactions also became more frequent outside the cSAC during the 1990s. These results indicate mobility of this 'resident' dolphin population on a timescale similar to that of the implementation of the European Directive designed to protect it. Consequently, this and other similar designations, may afford less protection than originally envisioned and the authors recommend, therefore, that the potential for long-term mobility should be actively incorporated into such management structures from the outset.
Experimental studies have highlighted the potential in£uence of contaminants on marine mammal immune function and anthropogenic contaminants are commonly believed to in£uence the development of diseases observed in the wild. However, estimates of the impact of contaminants on wild populations are constrained by uncertainty over natural variation in disease patterns under di¡erent environmental conditions. We used photographic techniques to compare levels of epidermal disease in ten coastal populations of bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) exposed to a wide range of natural and anthropogenic conditions. Epidermal lesions were common in all populations (a¡ecting 460% of individuals), but both the prevalence and severity of 15 lesion categories varied between populations. No relationships were found between epidermal disease and contaminant levels across the four populations for which toxicological data were available. In contrast, there were highly signi¢cant linear relationships with oceanographic variables. In particular, populations from areas of low water temperature and low salinity exhibited higher lesion prevalence and severity. Such conditions may impact on epidermal integrity or produce more general physiological stress, potentially making animals more vulnerable to natural infections or anthropogenic factors. These results show that variations in natural environmental factors must be accounted for when investigating the importance of anthropogenic impacts on disease in wild marine mammals.
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