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Background: The African Surgical Outcomes Study (ASOS) showed that surgical patients in Africa have a mortality twice the global average. Existing risk assessment tools are not valid for use in this population because the pattern of risk for poor outcomes differs from high-income countries. The objective of this study was to derive and validate a simple, preoperative risk stratification tool to identify African surgical patients at risk for in-hospital postoperative mortality and severe complications. Methods: ASOS was a 7-day prospective cohort study of adult patients undergoing surgery in Africa. The ASOS Surgical Risk Calculator was constructed with a multivariable logistic regression model for the outcome of in-hospital mortality and severe postoperative complications. The following preoperative risk factors were entered into the model; age, sex, smoking status, ASA physical status, preoperative chronic comorbid conditions, indication for surgery, urgency, severity, and type of surgery. Results: The model was derived from 8799 patients from 168 African hospitals. The composite outcome of severe postoperative complications and death occurred in 423/8799 (4.8%) patients. The ASOS Surgical Risk Calculator includes the following risk factors: age, ASA physical status, indication for surgery, urgency, severity, and type of surgery. The model showed good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.805 and good calibration with c-statistic corrected for optimism of 0.784. Conclusions: This simple preoperative risk calculator could be used to identify high-risk surgical patients in African hospitals and facilitate increased postoperative surveillance. Clinical trial registration: NCT03044899.

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Summary Background Risk of mortality following surgery in patients across Africa is twice as high as the global average. Most of these deaths occur on hospital wards after the surgery itself. We aimed to assess whether enhanced postoperative surveillance of adult surgical patients at high risk of postoperative morbidity or mortality in Africa could reduce 30-day in-hospital mortality. Methods We did a two-arm, open-label, cluster-randomised trial of hospitals (clusters) across Africa. Hospitals were eligible if they provided surgery with an overnight postoperative admission. Hospitals were randomly assigned through minimisation in recruitment blocks (1:1) to provide patients with either a package of enhanced postoperative surveillance interventions (admitting the patient to higher care ward, increasing the frequency of postoperative nursing observations, assigning the patient to a bed in view of the nursing station, allowing family members to stay in the ward, and placing a postoperative surveillance guide at the bedside) for those at high risk (ie, with African Surgical Outcomes Study Surgical Risk Calculator scores ≥10) and usual care for those at low risk (intervention group), or for all patients to receive usual postoperative care (control group). Health-care providers and participants were not masked, but data assessors were. The primary outcome was 30-day in-hospital mortality of patients at low and high risk, measured at the participant level. All analyses were done as allocated (by cluster) in all patients with available data. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov , NCT03853824 . Findings Between May 3, 2019, and July 27, 2020, 594 eligible hospitals indicated a desire to participate across 33 African countries; 332 (56%) were able to recruit participants and were included in analyses. We allocated 160 hospitals (13 275 patients) to provide enhanced postoperative surveillance and 172 hospitals (15 617 patients) to provide standard care. The mean age of participants was 37·1 years (SD 15·5) and 20 039 (69·4%) of 28 892 patients were women. 30-day in-hospital mortality occurred in 169 (1·3%) of 12 970 patients with mortality data in the intervention group and in 193 (1·3%) of 15 242 patients with mortality data in the control group (relative risk 0·96, 95% CI 0·69–1·33; p=0·79). 45 (0·2%) of 22 031 patients at low risk and 309 (5·6%) of 5500 patients at high risk died. No harms associated with either intervention were reported. Interpretation This intervention package did not decrease 30-day in-hospital mortality among surgical patients in Africa at high risk of postoperative morbidity or mortality. Further research is needed to develop interventions that prevent death from surgical complications in resource-limited hospitals across Africa. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the World Federati...

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Background: Antifibrinolytics such as tranexamic acid and epsilon-aminocaproic acid are effective at reducing blood loss and transfusion in pediatric patients having craniofacial surgery. The Pediatric Craniofacial Collaborative Group has previously reported low rates of seizures and thromboembolic events (equal to no antifibrinolytic given) in open craniofacial surgery. Aims: To query the Pediatric Craniofacial Collaborative Group database to provide an updated antifibrinolytic safety profile in children given that antifibrinolytics have become recommended standard of care in this surgical population. Additionally, we include the population of younger infants having minimally invasive procedures. Methods: Patients in the Pediatric Craniofacial Collaborative Group registry between June 2012 and March 2021 having open craniofacial surgery (fronto-orbital advancement, mid and posterior vault, total cranial vault remodeling, intracranial LeFort III monobloc), endoscopic cranial suture release, and spring mediated cranioplasty were included. The primary outcome is the rate of postoperative complications possibly attributable to antifibrinolytic use (seizures, seizure-like activity, and thromboembolic events) in infants and children undergoing craniosynostosis surgery who did or did not receive antifibrinolytics.Results: Forty-five institutions reporting 6583 patients were included. The overall seizure rate was 0.24% (95% CI: 0.14, 0.39%), with 0.20% in the no Antifibrinolytic group and 0.26% in the combined Antifibrinolytic group, with no statistically reported difference. Comparing seizure rates between tranexamic acid (0.22%) and epsilon-aminocaproic acid (0.44%), there was no statistically significant difference (odds ratio = 2.0; 95% CI: 0.6, 6.7; p = .257). Seizure rate was higher in patients greater than 6 months (0.30% vs. 0.18%; p = .327), patients undergoing open procedures (0.30% vs. 0.06%; p = .141), and syndromic patients (0.70% vs. 0.19%; p = .009).

Background Myelomeningocoele (MMC) is common in the developing world. The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical characteristics and management of myelomeningocoele and to identify factors contributing to outcomes. Methods This was a retrospective, observational study of consecutive children diagnosed with MMC managed in the Paediatric Neurosurgery Unit at Inkosi Albert Luthuli Central Hospital. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified clinical characteristics, demographics and surgical variables that were associated with outcome. Results A total of 309 children were managed during this period (M:F 1.3:1). The most common sites were lumbar, lumbo-sacral and sacral. Mean age at surgical repair was 4.7 ± 15.6 months. Two hundred and eight children had ventriculomegaly, of whom 158 had symptomatic hydrocephalus, requiring CSF diversion. Fifty-eight (21%) patients developed wound sepsis, of whom 13 (22%) developed meningitis (p = 0.001). The time to wound sepsis was 9.5 ± 3.6 days. The commonest organism isolated was Staphylococcus aureus followed by MRSA. Thirty-two patients (23%) developed shunt malfunction and three (11%) developed ETV malfunction. Twenty children (9%) demised during the admission period. Death was associated with meningitis (p < 0.0001), and meningitis itself was associated with wound sepsis (p < 0.0001). Hospital stay was 20.4 ± 16 days. Wound sepsis (p = 0.002) and meningitis (p < 0.0001), respectively, were associated with prolonged hospital stay. Conclusion There was a slight male preponderance and hydrocephalus occurred in two thirds of cases. Wound sepsis and meningitis were associated poor outcomes.

Objectives: To undertake a large-scale review of otogenic intracranial sepsis in an area of highly prevalent HIV and tuberculosis (TB) to re-examine and inform early diagnosis and treatment efforts. Methods: Seventy-seven consecutive cases of otogenic intracranial sepsis in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa were reviewed for demographics, presentation, imaging, HIV status, culture results, and outcomes. Results: The most common intracranial complications were intracranial abscess (46.8%), hydrocephalus (31.2%), subdural empyema (28.6%), and epidural empyema (26.0%). Ear discharge (87.0%), postauricular abscess (29.9%), and hearing loss (29.9%) were notable presenting symptoms. Overall mortality was 15.6%. Of the 45.5% of patients with HIV testing, 54.2% were HIV+, Mortality among HIV+ patients was 15.8% but only 6.3% in HIV− patients (p = 0.61, OR = 2.8). Eight patients (10.4%) had culture or histological evidence of TB infection. Conclusions: Otogenic intracranial complications continue to present late and are associated with significant mortality and morbidity, despite advances in diagnostic and treatment modalities. This study represents one of the largest case-series in the literature, and the first to specifically evaluate the effects of HIV and TB infection. Patient presentation and severity of illness varied; however, a majority of patients presented with ear discharge and no focal neurological signs. An effect size for higher mortality among HIV+ patients compared with HIV− patients was noted but was not significant. Tuberculosis infection was prevalent compared with previous studies. This study reinforces the need for enhanced screening and early treatment of ear disease to minimize associated mortality and morbidity, particularly in immunocompromised patients.